Wendigo
azulmagia
Nobody excepting psychopaths are in favour of violent revolution for the sake of violent revolution. People are in favour of
effective revolutions. How violent they turn out to be is
entirely out of their hands. This should be the A-B-C to everyone except confirmed reactionaries.
Even a completely bloodless, peaceful and legal revolution is based upon force. The efficacy of ALL politics whatsoever is premised upon force. Whether or not there is an actual
bodycount is an entirely contingent matter.
To clarify even further, strictly speaking, nobody is
in favour of revolution. You either recognise the
necessity of a revolution or you don't. The means are
che sera, sera. It doesn't change the necessity, retroactively.
Conversely, if you believe that a revolution is necessary and one is not, that belief does not make a revolution any more necessary. Once one concedes the necessity of a revolution, one can rationalize the belief that the violence of one's revolution has been forced on one by circumstance, rather than the means
chosen actively as a complement to one's end. After all, any government is fairly unlikely to just hand over the keys to the kingdom because you
ask, even if you ask
really politely.
Violence in revolution is
normally forced upon the revolutionaries as a matter of course, and not a rationalization. I mean, look at the French Revolution. The King wasn't even removed, much less beheaded, until after he'd proved his treachery (which was entirely predictable). Even in Russia, the real violence began with the Civil War (The ouster of Kerensky's regime was virtually bloodless - nobody was willing to risk their skin for him. The Bolsheviks even went as far as setting a few tsarist generals at liberty under promise that they'd not take arms against the Soviet!). And, in every revolution to date, the counter-revolutionary forces rack up a higher kill count than the revolutionaries. This was true for the various French Revolutions, the Russian Revolution, the Spanish Civil War, etc. Even in Vietnam, in terms of deaths by terrorism, the US/South Vietnam killed more people than the Viet Cong.
The necessity of revolution has little to do with
wanting a revolution, as. It's not just that the ancien regime is committing abuses, it's that it's no longer
fit for command. People literally have to take matters into their own hands to solve society's most pressing problems. It no longer becomes possible to kick the can - whatever that may be under the circumstance - down the road. And there are quite a few such cans these days.
As for violence, the Soviet Union indeed tolerated the Baltic States appropriating the "keys to the kingdom" without a casualty, so you can have a bloodless national liberation. The fall of the Soviet Union: also relatively bloodless, but not a real revolution since the self-same ruling elite just turned themselves into capitalists. The transition to capitalism itself though cost an excess mortality of some two million people. At least one coup in Thailand came out bloodless save for one traffic policeman dying (if I remember correctly) - it's mentioned in passing in Yukio Mishima's
Runaway Horses. As for things that could count as revolutions, the transfer of power to the Hungarian Soviet Republic in 1919 was technically bloodless. Usually we expect resistance, but every once in a blue moon, the ancien regime folds like a lawn chair.
Quote:
Quote:
And to equate revolution with regime change via intervention is purest sophistry, even if we granted for sake of argument that they both involve "violent overthrows".
Oh? Seems to be more than a passing resemblance to me. Certainly more than a little, if we consider that Syria is attempting a revolution at the moment, presumably one that has been waiting in the wings a good long time. (Between four and five decades of Ba'ath party rule-by-force, and all.)
Whether the Syrian civil war turns into a real popular revolution - as opposed to a mere sectarian/regional conflict - is yet to be seen. Certainly Egypt hasn't reached that phase yet. The goal would have to be to unseat the military rule which deposes presidents as it sees fit. And the class power behind the military.
No true revolution is about merely overthrowing a
government. I can understand why Second Amendment loving gunloons associate revolution with armed force used to overthrow a government, but they're idiots. I can't see what your excuse is for repeatedly conflating coup d'etats, civil wars, emeutes, coups de mains, bunts and palace coups with revolutions No revolution can stop at merely replacing the head of state, his cronies etc. It's not just the king or tsar that has to go, it's the prerogatives and power of the entire aristocracy. That was even true in the so-called "Roman Revolution" described in the book of the same name. It wasn't just the Optimates that had to go, but the entire Republic. The transition from Republic to Empire actually enabled more Italians to rise to Roman citizenship and increased their likelihood of attaining Senatorial status and the highest magistraties than was previously the case. The problems that give rise to revolutions are supra-political, they are pathologies of the entire system that can neither be solved satisfactorily in terms of the existing system, nor in terms of the interests of those who run the various facets of the systems - not just political, but economic, military, media, the church and so forth.Those "patriots" who think that all that has to be done is to put in place a "restoration of the Constitution" have a nasty surprise waiting for them. The system of international hegemony
requires that the President has extra-constitutional foreign policy powers, for instance.
Quote:
Quote:
It's one thing for the Syrian people to oust Assad if they're tired of his bullshit, because it's their ******** country in the first place. It's another thing entirely for the United States to interlope.
Is it? No matter how tired of the Ba'ath party's bullshit they may be (this is only their second Assad after Hafez), the would-be revolutionaries stand a good chance of all dying, given how much more powerful Assad's military apparatus is. Happened in Iraq once, not long ago. Gunship helicopters are real hard on groundlings.
I'm not talking about the capacity in terms of force to overthrow a regime, but who has the rights to do it. To say the US has the right to do it is the same as saying that Syria is inherently America's bondsman. Calling such a thing a "right" is a contradiction in terms anyway - once we're talking about something the US can do to Syria, but not Syria to the US, we're talking about a privilege.
Going back to the past, exponents of mainstream liberalism, even those critical of slavery, were generally horrified when the slaves of Haiti successfully freed themselves. Such exponents thought only they - propertied white males - were qualified to be arbiters of those entitled to liberty. There's a direct line between that kind of liberalism (the original variety, in fact!) and the neoliberalism of today.
Quote:
Quote:
I mean, how retarded is it to assume that
this time the US is going to establish a true-blue democracy that will
(a) be responsive to its people's needs, (b) friendly to the the US and Israel, and (c) not beholden to the US in any way?
I'd settle for A. I'd also roll any number of johns like Assad for a chance at A. Or without a chance at A; Assad's a ******** and should be dead.
I would settle for (a) too, but the entire point of imperialism is that Third World countries exist primarily for
our benefit, not for theirs. The United States has consistently stood against (a), even conniving in coups against liberal democrats like Goulart in Brazil and Bosch in the Dominican Republic. Needless to say, the United States considers itself the arbiters of what a given country needs, so if the people disagree, they must have fallen under the spell of ultranationalism, communism or what have you. Of course, America would do the same thing were they in the same shoes, and in fact did in the formative years. I know of an Alexander Hamilton quote that is FRIGHTENINGLY Third Worldist....