What Are The Odds?- Collating Crafting Chances

If Gaia was to adjust crafting changes, what would you like to see implemented?

Crafting Cost Cap (Cannot cost more than 'x' gold, odds stay the same)	15.5%	[ 128 ]
Scaling Odds (Subsequent failures increase crafting success)	62.9%	[ 520 ]
Scaling Fixed Cost (Formula has a cost to craft which reduces based on Alchemy Level)	14.0%	[ 116 ]
Other (Please share!)	7.6%	[ 63 ]
Total Votes:			[ 827 ]

[Zzyli]

Yum Moon

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Congratulations- you've single-handedly blown out the average attempts on Very Low at level from about 10 to about 17.

Ysavvryl

Thanks for submitting. Lucky it wasn't a super expensive item. 3nodding

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[Yum Moon]

Zzyli

Yum Moon

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Congratulations- you've single-handedly blown out the average attempts on Very Low at level from about 10 to about 17.

Ysavvryl

Thanks for submitting. Lucky it wasn't a super expensive item. 3nodding

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

Just wait until I've stockpiled enough gold to start crafting the red mercury's lol

[Tay Lorien]

Yum Moon

Zzyli

Yum Moon

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Congratulations- you've single-handedly blown out the average attempts on Very Low at level from about 10 to about 17.

Ysavvryl

Thanks for submitting. Lucky it wasn't a super expensive item. 3nodding

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

Just wait until I've stockpiled enough gold to start crafting the red mercury's lol

I plan on trying that too.

[Zzyli]

Tay Lorien

I plan on trying that too.

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Good luck! (You'll need to it craft Very Low formula at level sweatdrop ).

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[Shukumei Wiswel]

Formula Level: 1
Formula Odds: Very Low
Alchemist Level: 1
Attempts Required: 13

[Tay Lorien]

Zzyli

Tay Lorien

I plan on trying that too.

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Good luck! (You'll need to it craft Very Low formula at level sweatdrop ).

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

That's why I'm reading threads about very low information and fail chances first. But I figure even with the amount of times I'm likely to fail, it's the only level 4 formula with a chance of a profit.

Thus proving the saying you have to spend money to make money.

[-Shiny_Tsukkomi-]

Formula Level: 4
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 4
Attempts Required: 3

I did five more of these, with the same success rate:
Formula Level: 4
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 4
Attempts Required: 1

Have you come up with a success percentage for any of the odds yet? :O

[Random 03 account]

Well you can up the average attempts of a low level formula while at the level of the formula to 5... as I've been failing a level 10 low chance formula multiple times now and am a maxed bar level 10... worse still is it is a 1M per try level 10 ugh...

[Zzyli]

-Shiny_Tsukkomi-

Formula Level: 4
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 4
Attempts Required: 3

I did five more of these, with the same success rate:
Formula Level: 4
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 4
Attempts Required: 1

Have you come up with a success percentage for any of the odds yet? :O

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Percentage is easy enough, but I was hoping to automate it... which is a bit eh. I'm not the world's greatest spreadsheet user.

I can give some current percentages though on the figures we have. 3nodding

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[-Shiny_Tsukkomi-]

Zzyli

-Shiny_Tsukkomi-

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Percentage is easy enough, but I was hoping to automate it... which is a bit eh. I'm not the world's greatest spreadsheet user.

I can give some current percentages though on the figures we have. 3nodding

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

Automated as in type in the figures and the spreadsheet will automatically spit out a number like a calculator? If you're using Excel, then maybe I can figure out a formula...

I'm gonna take a wild guess and say that the Very Low rate is somewhere around 10%. xD

[Zzyli]

-Shiny_Tsukkomi-

Automated as in type in the figures and the spreadsheet will automatically spit out a number like a calculator? If you're using Excel, then maybe I can figure out a formula...

I'm gonna take a wild guess and say that the Very Low rate is somewhere around 10%. xD

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Very low actually seems to be closer to 5% sweatdrop at least from the information I've got so far.

My trouble is that I don't know how to get it to do a count of how much data is in each column, and that would be the total number of crafts. I may just have to manually recalculate. *shrugs*

I just know that some people find percentages more palatable, so I thought I'd try to provide some.

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[-Shiny_Tsukkomi-]

Zzyli

-Shiny_Tsukkomi-

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Very low actually seems to be closer to 5% sweatdrop at least from the information I've got so far.

My trouble is that I don't know how to get it to do a count of how much data is in each column, and that would be the total number of crafts. I may just have to manually recalculate. *shrugs*

I just know that some people find percentages more palatable, so I thought I'd try to provide some.

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

5% Pfft. Never doing another Very Low formula again. rofl

Yeah I just tried making a formula and it's a bit strange...I think if I somehow incorporate the number of submissions into the formula, then it would work. I'll figure it out later after dinner~

[Zzyli]

-Shiny_Tsukkomi-

5% Pfft. Never doing another Very Low formula again. rofl

Yeah I just tried making a formula and it's a bit strange...I think if I somehow incorporate the number of submissions into the formula, then it would work. I'll figure it out later after dinner~

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Very Low is an interesting thing. If you know you're going to need those component crafts later, and don't want anything else from the level, it's almost worth burning the gold I think. But that's just my personal opinion. I'm SO going to change my mind when I decide to craft all those Candy Mountains.

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[OtherWorldShukumei]

Formula Level: 2
Formula Odds: Very High
Alchemist Level: 3
Attempts Required: 1

[CherryblueSky]

3rd "very low" odd formula . . . maybe I should wait until i get to a higher level... sweatdrop

Formula Level: Formula 4: Candy Mountain
Formula Odds: very low
Alchemist Level: 4
Attempts Required: 16 (not including chain fails)