10,000,000 Pages Hangout Thread

How are you?

Great	28.1%	[ 238 ]
Good	18.8%	[ 159 ]
Okay	26.7%	[ 226 ]
Poll	26.4%	[ 223 ]
Total Votes:			[ 846 ]

[Everlongprince]

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[Everlongprince]

a

[Gamma Risk]

Greeks idea: Long dated BPS, wide spread, 1 contract, accept assignment, like a long call except positive theta.


Ideas for Monday:

Bullish: CAVA earnings, NVDA continuation 1080, NRG, GDDY (aug 1-2 earnings) enter 138 pullback, DELL earnings BPS 145

Volatility: Debit iron condor FSLR for PCE

Positions– : 

6/21: 480-500 META -5.03, >290 AXON 3.00, 170-175 AMD -2, 19-21 HIMS -.73, 29-31 SLV -.65, >43 NEM .72, >165 TXRH 1.25, >530 SPY -10.32 <540 2.03

50-49 FCX -.39

7/19: 55-60 FCX -1.54, 105-120 VRT -3.23, 1060-1200 NVDA -31.88

-Long term: >500 META 6/20/2025 -94.1

Events of the week 5/20: NVDA and PDD earnings, fedspeak, jobless claims, inflation expectations, durable goods


Long ideas (4/21):
-AVGO: The true picks and shovels for AI chip expansion. Required for the buildout for CSP chip competitors with NVDA. VMWare acquisition is extremely value accretive, creating a very lucrative software branch of the chip giant.
5/15: VRT- Core to data center power and cooling. Like a leveraged NVDA bet.
5/21: FCX- World’s largest gold miner, major molybdenum producer (many industrial uses including its prevalence in almost all sources of renewable energy, economic expansion and rate cut beneficiary), major copper producer

Current 2023 fed hawkishness that are voting members: Dovish-Goolsbee, Cook, Harker (neutral), Barr (neutral)
-Hawks-least to most hawkish : Jefferson, Williams, Powell, Loretta Mester, Logan, Waller, Bowman, Kashkari
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Notes:
-Jan and July OPEX historically negative while April is positive
-Quadruple witching: March, june, september, and december (index, index futures, stocks, stock futures)
-Strong sectors for bull butterflies: Travel, semiconductors, asset managers (ABNB, ASML, BAM). Open on March 4th or later.
-Bid/ask size: Large bid size= more demand/buying,  large ask size= more supply/selling
-cut losses and take profits without emotion. Only way to do that is appropriate position sizing!
-Keep in mind 0.66 a contract. Need at least 0.03 to break-even on a normal spread open and close (think 0.027 debited).

[Chantal444k]

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[EnkiCat]

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