000
AGXX40 KNHC 280547
MIMATS
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
147 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.
BROAD LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NE GULF
THROUGH WED. A TROUGH WILL DEVELOP EACH NIGHT OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND MOVE NW DURING LATE NIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING OVER THE SW GULF DURING THE
LATE MORNING HOURS. A RIDGE WILL EXTEND FROM W CUBA NW TO THE NE
TEXAS THROUGH THU THEN SHIFT S ON FRI AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO THE N CENTRAL GULF WATERS.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.
ATLC RIDGE N OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER NW
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG TRADES OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...INCREASING TO NEAR GALE WARNING WITHIN 150 NM OF THE
COLOMBIAN COAST EACH NIGHT...EXCEPT MINIMAL GALE WARNING CONDITIONS
EXPECTED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. A TROPICAL WAVE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE W ACROSS THE THE REMAINDER OF THE
WESTERN AND PASS W OF THE AREA LATER TODAY. A SECOND TROPICAL
WAVE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WILL ENTER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
TUE...THE W CARIBBEAN WED...AND PASS W OF THE AREA THU. A THIRD
TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS W OF 55W LATE
TUE...ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN ON LATE WED...INTO THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN THU...THE W CARIBBEAN LATE FRI.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED
WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.
A RIDGE EXTENDING EXTENDING E TO W ALONG 26N WILL
SHIFT A LITTLE S TONIGHT AND WED. A TROUGH ACROSS THE FAR NW
WATERS WILL MOVE A LITTLE E ON WED...BUT STALL AGAIN WED
NIGHT...THEN DRIFT NW ON THU AND FRI AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS N AND
STRENGTHENS. FRESH TRADES WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE N COAST OF
HISPANIOLA AND THE ATLC APPROACH TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE EACH
EVENING.
$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 72W AND 77W INCLUDING
COLOMBIA BASIN...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
NONE.
$$
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE
$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAMIMATS.shtml