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 Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2006 9:00 pm
:stamps everyone who voted Dai:
... >> Told you so.
I know you're aiming blindly but be SERIOUS. A killer. 2 games in a ROW? Right after another?
Sure. Insom got Sniper and CK. But that took 6 games to get there. And she got CK and Sniper. Not Sniper or CK x2.
Save the minute chances for very slim times.
6 Days left.
... :hehe:
HirunHikari
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Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2006 9:03 pm
"Im more insane then you"Whats everyone talkin bout 6 days left?
Since when are the games timed?
Has sin been lost for so long?
Or is this new?
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Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2006 9:04 pm
A Dragonflys Sin "Im more insane then you"Whats everyone talkin bout 6 days left?
Since when are the games timed?
Has sin been lost for so long?
Or is this new?
18 people left in the game who are undead, unjailed, and active.
3 people killed or jailed a day.
18 / 3 = 6 Days to Sniper Win Out of people to Jail.
HirunHikari
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Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2006 9:05 pm
HirunHikari A Dragonflys Sin "Im more insane then you"Whats everyone talkin bout 6 days left?
Since when are the games timed?
Has sin been lost for so long?
Or is this new?
18 people left in the game who are undead, unjailed, and active.
3 people killed or jailed a day.
18 / 3 = 6 Days to SNIPER WIN.
HirunHikari
OHH!!
XD
-gets your pwoned stamp and stamps self-
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Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2006 9:12 pm
I'd be careful about saying "sniper win"...
On the last day, if the sniper's lucky and hasn't been caught by then... there'll be three people, one of whom's the sniper...
One of those people is jailvote... One is normal vote... (and one's sniperbait, but we won't worry about that... n_n)
Meaning, the sniper, if they can even make it to that point (geometric series for the % chance each round that the sniper will be caught, regressing from the last day... 1/3, 1/6, 1/9...) will only have about a 1/3 chance of winning (statistically...since they're also voting, and strategy and whatnot will play a part, that % might actually be greater or less depending...but we're just talking only about numbers here...)
o_o
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Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2006 9:13 pm
Sibeiko I'd be careful about saying "sniper win"... On the last day, if the sniper's lucky and hasn't been caught by then... there'll be three people, one of whom's the sniper... One of those people is jailvote... One is normal vote... (and one's sniperbait, but we won't worry about that... n_n) Meaning, the sniper, if they can even make it to that point (geometric series for the % chance each round that the sniper will be caught, regressing from the last day... 1/3, 1/6, 1/9...) will only have about a 1/3 chance of winning (statistically...since they're also voting, and strategy and whatnot will play a part, that % might actually be greater or less depending...but we're just talking only about numbers here...) o_o
Okay, how about till we run out of people to pack into our box?
HEY SNIPER.
DEAL, OR NO DEAL?
(There is a 25% chance that The Sniper's Case holds at least 5 bodies.)
HirunHikari
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Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2006 9:15 pm
Why would Dai be the sniper he was the CK last game gonk crying
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Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2006 9:18 pm
HirunHikari
Okay, how about till we run out of people to pack into our box?
HEY SNIPER.
DEAL, OR NO DEAL?
(There is a 25% chance that The Sniper's Case holds at least 5 bodies.)
HirunHikari
*falls over from side-splitting laughter* Waitaminute...what kind deal would the sniper be offered? How many bodies they get to claim? O.o Cases with 2, 4, and 6 bodies are left... >_<
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Posted: Fri Nov 24, 2006 10:29 pm
I'm sowwy you got $1.
Actually, the sniper has a 2/3 chance, ignoring interference.
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Posted: Sat Nov 25, 2006 7:52 am
So does this mean that our GM is Howie Mandell, and that everybody is a sexy woman holding a suitcase?
Awesome! <3
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Posted: Sat Nov 25, 2006 5:31 pm
Mr. Sellophane So does this mean that our GM is Howie Mandell, and that everybody is a sexy woman holding a suitcase? Awesome! <3 *holds a suitcase* .......................... *doesn't look sexy* gonk Six days until we all die. Yay?
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Posted: Sat Nov 25, 2006 5:39 pm
Daisuna Ichi Why would Dai be the sniper he was the CK last game gonk crying The odds of having a killing role twice in a role are (2/(Average # of people playing))^2. But because we know Dai had a role last time, that raises the odds back to the normal 2/(# of people playing), which is just as good as everyone else. So...who's to say Dai isn't the sniper based on that?
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Posted: Sat Nov 25, 2006 5:51 pm
Estella Wolfe Daisuna Ichi Why would Dai be the sniper he was the CK last game gonk crying The odds of having a killing role twice in a role are (2/(Average # of people playing))^2. But because we know Dai had a role last time, that raises the odds back to the normal 2/(# of people playing), which is just as good as everyone else. So...who's to say Dai isn't the sniper based on that?
Me emo
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Posted: Sat Nov 25, 2006 5:55 pm
Daisuna Ichi Estella Wolfe Daisuna Ichi Why would Dai be the sniper he was the CK last game gonk crying The odds of having a killing role twice in a role are (2/(Average # of people playing))^2. But because we know Dai had a role last time, that raises the odds back to the normal 2/(# of people playing), which is just as good as everyone else. So...who's to say Dai isn't the sniper based on that?
Me emo
...Dai doesn't count talk2hand mrgreen
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Posted: Sat Nov 25, 2006 5:58 pm
Estella Wolfe Daisuna Ichi Estella Wolfe Daisuna Ichi Why would Dai be the sniper he was the CK last game gonk crying The odds of having a killing role twice in a role are (2/(Average # of people playing))^2. But because we know Dai had a role last time, that raises the odds back to the normal 2/(# of people playing), which is just as good as everyone else. So...who's to say Dai isn't the sniper based on that?
Me emo
...Dai doesn't count talk2hand mrgreen
Nooooooooooooooooooo!!! Why? gonk crying
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