|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 4:46 pm
It might be a b***h, but you wouldn't be on the chopping block if you'd managed it. Something to consider in the future. 3nodding
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 4:48 pm
Allegro SoThatAznGirl I don't understand this. Three out of four possible kills happened last night, right? Well, let's say the doctor can choose 1 out of 19 people to protect. The mafia feeder has a pool of 14 or 15, because they should not be trying to kill off their own team mates. 19x14 becomes how many possible combos of target choices, and only 1 has the doctor's protection aligning with the FF's kill. That's a 1/266 chance, or .4%, highly unlikely that an active FF was role blocked by the doc.
Remember, it's not just one attacker you have to figure in. I'm not sure what the equation would be for that. It's...um. The mafia get two targets out of 14. The SK gets 1 out of 18. So does the townie FF. The doc gets one out of 19. Assuming that the killers attack different targets (which seems to be the case), there are 4 out of 19 potential targets the doctor could save. I'm not sure what the equation there is, because I'm bad at math. But in a normal game (one mafia and an SK, for instance), on night one, our guy has significantly lower odds of protecting someone. That's what I'm trying to say. We can't discount the Doctor: with so much carnage they're gonna be hugely important. QuoOOOote
:<
The quoltergeist is good at math.
He is also a mathtergeist.
But dead people can't use their skills.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 4:53 pm
Allegro Sweet Amber Lynne iam a townie so im not worried oh, WELL then. That's a compelling argument. SAL because the ff wasn't active last night We don't know this. Withdraw vote for the moment. It still bothers me that you think something's fishy with me, Kuzo and STAG for addressing Zach's suspicions, yet you refuse to follow up on them. Instead, you're focusing on the inactive players. Is it because it's an easier lynch? I'm curious. I thought that I had read that the FF was active. My bad. I just thought that because they were inactive that it could of been either of them because they weren't online either. As for wylr I haven't seen any actual evidence towards him so im not going to just vote for him and potentially kill off a townie.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:11 pm
The town FF hit, the mafia one did not.
Edit: Amber, you're missing my point. I'm not wondering why you haven't pushed Wylr. I don't think he's guilty either. But you stated that we had "jumped on him because he was trying to start something." So why don't you have a bone to pick with me, Kuzo, or STAG, the ones who accused him?
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:30 pm
I was just going with my gut at the time and they seemed the most suspicious. If you vote me off then its your choice, I understand I haven't really explained myself, but I really have to go.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:35 pm
xd I like our Quoltergeist....Can we keep him?
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:37 pm
Call me crazy, but I think an innocent would have put up more of a fight.
Vote Amber.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
stare .....*remembers*
Hell yeah they would. =/
.....but also, couldnt a Non-innocent but up a Huge fight?
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:40 pm
=/ In hindsight, I don't even understand my last post.
Vote SAL
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:50 pm
So, I'm gonna go ahead and Vote: Kath because of the reasons I said earlier. I pick him, basically. I think either him or ILI is the Force Feeder on Mafia.
So, yeah.
Anyway, gonna continue watching this movie, now. I should start paying attention again.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:51 pm
Medeus =/ In hindsight, I don't even understand my last post. Vote SALI get what you were saying, that a mafia member (or SK) would also be capable of putting up a fight. At this early stage, though, we need every townie we can get. The Mafia does too, although they benefit from secrecy so a loss isn't crippling to them. So, why wouldn't Amber fight to defend herself? We may have a front-runner for SK. EDIT: Derp, right, the SK isn't lynch immune. Which means they'd want to defend themselves even more. The only thing that makes even a bit of sense is if she's Mafia.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 6:01 pm
sadly ILI seems very suspicious after coming on at the end
VOTE ILI
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 6:06 pm
I agree with Allegro. Allegree. Posting on this is a b***h.
And a townie or SK would put up much more of a fight when on the chopping block. And have a much more compelling argument.
And my suspicions of Kath have been quieted... For now...
Unvote Kath
Vote SAL
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 6:12 pm
dammit my bold didnt work
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed Feb 16, 2011 6:17 pm
I'm here now. I got a lot of reading to do, so I go to do that.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reply
