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Cherry Ave

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Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 5:30 pm

Here it is:

To Sibeiko : I'm either obviously a liar or cannot be trusted

Guild: Because the sniper no longer has anything to fear, he/she's going to inform you that Merty has been targeted.

Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 5:50 pm

Merty. Hmmn.

And with no G-Team left, we know Merty will perish.

A tricky one this Sniper is.

As for the Sibeiko thing, I'm guessing Sibeiko maybe has an alliance with the Sniper, or is in fact the Sniper and is mentioning his own name to try and throw suspicion off himself.

Whirlwind Heat

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Sutcliffe

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Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 6:03 pm

This is interesting.

If Merty does die, you should tell us who the Sniper is. You obviously know, and they killed you, so why are you still protecting them?

@ Sellophane:

Maybe the Sniper isn't Sibeiko. What if the Sniper is lying about the alliance thing, just to throw suspicion onto Sibeiko? Perspicuously, we are all going to jump to the conclusion that the Sniper is Sibeiko, but this might not be right.

This could mean we're getting close, I have serious doubts about the Gaians we are jailing tonight, I am unsure if either one of them is the Sniper. I doubt it. sweatdrop

Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 6:11 pm

Miss Tanpopo

This is interesting.

If Merty does die, you should tell us who the Sniper is. You obviously know, and they killed you, so why are you still protecting them?

@ Sellophane:

Maybe the Sniper isn't Sibeiko. What if the Sniper is lying about the alliance thing, just to throw suspicion onto Sibeiko? Perspicuously, we are all going to jump to the conclusion that the Sniper is Sibeiko, but this might not be right.

This could mean we're getting close, I have serious doubts about the Gaians we are jailing tonight, I am unsure if either one of them is the Sniper. I doubt it. sweatdrop

...

>.>

And what if they are working with the sniper and thus wish to help them win?

Dukes

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Bellecat

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Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 6:27 pm

[Cherry.Wine]

Here it is:

To Sibeiko : I'm either obviously a liar or cannot be trusted

Guild: Because the sniper no longer has anything to fear, he/she's going to inform you that Merty has been targeted.

Soo they're not shooting Ekichi or Ju?
THEN ONE OF THEM IS SNIPAR
... preferably Ekichi o-o"

Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 6:29 pm

Vote Sib and someone else. Sib is instantly suspicious for being mentioned.

Sailboat5

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Ei-Kichi St Alth

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Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 7:11 pm

Bellecat

[Cherry.Wine]

Here it is:

To Sibeiko : I'm either obviously a liar or cannot be trusted

Guild: Because the sniper no longer has anything to fear, he/she's going to inform you that Merty has been targeted.

Soo they're not shooting Ekichi or Ju?
THEN ONE OF THEM IS SNIPAR
... preferably Ekichi o-o"

Not I. :3

Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 7:13 pm

///+ Buzz Bro... +///

2. Lingui
6. Sibeiko
16. Juria-San
43. Marly-chan

these people should be voted for ninja

I WILL NOT BE SILENCED!!!! scream

///+

...Blue+///

buzzkid24

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Cherry Ave

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Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 7:14 pm

Miss Tanpopo

This is interesting.

If Merty does die, you should tell us who the Sniper is. You obviously know, and they killed you, so why are you still protecting them?

@ Sellophane:

Maybe the Sniper isn't Sibeiko. What if the Sniper is lying about the alliance thing, just to throw suspicion onto Sibeiko? Perspicuously, we are all going to jump to the conclusion that the Sniper is Sibeiko, but this might not be right.

This could mean we're getting close, I have serious doubts about the Gaians we are jailing tonight, I am unsure if either one of them is the Sniper. I doubt it. sweatdrop

Merty did die. 3nodding I don't know who the sniper is. I was told through an annonymous source.

I want the sniper to win, so I wouldn't tell you even if I did know . ^__^

Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 7:36 pm

Eikichi Taro Stalth

Bellecat

[Cherry.Wine]

Here it is:

To Sibeiko : I'm either obviously a liar or cannot be trusted

Guild: Because the sniper no longer has anything to fear, he/she's going to inform you that Merty has been targeted.

Soo they're not shooting Ekichi or Ju?
THEN ONE OF THEM IS SNIPAR
... preferably Ekichi o-o"

Not I. :3

Wow! This is the first time I've ever been voted for or considered suspicious! And it's at a time when the sniper is considered awesome. Well, not awesome, just incredibly sneaky. YES.

Juria-San

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Lingui

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Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 8:09 pm

@Juria-san: OMG this is the first game I've ever been considered suspicious in, too!!! Yay, GO US!!! xd

Wow..we're either really pathetic at catching people this game, or the Sniper is really sneakily good...or both. o.O

Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 8:11 pm

Lingui

@Juria-san: OMG this is the first game I've ever been considered suspicious in, too!!! Yay, GO US!!! xd

Wow..we're either really pathetic at catching people this game, or the Sniper is really sneakily good...or both. o.O

With so few people left and with alot of people backing the sniper, its almost undoubtable that the sniper will win. Probably the reason you're found 'suspicious'.

Roy Salad

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LouisaTheGreat

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Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 8:13 pm

Wow, this sniper is way too good.

Go sniper!

Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 8:20 pm

Roy Salamandra

Lingui

@Juria-san: OMG this is the first game I've ever been considered suspicious in, too!!! Yay, GO US!!! xd

Wow..we're either really pathetic at catching people this game, or the Sniper is really sneakily good...or both. o.O

With so few people left and with alot of people backing the sniper, its almost undoubtable that the sniper will win. Probably the reason you're found 'suspicious'.

Hey. Hey. You.
...That makes so much sense. Who knows, maybe I am the sniper? ninja Naah, I'm not all that suspicious, but you know, there's a 2o% chance of me being the sniper, that's the slimmest the chances around me have ever become. And hey, to me and the other three who hold GCD position, there's a 25% chance of the person we're voting for being the sniper.

And Lingui, huzzah for us being of the last few remaining! Final five is pretty good. O_O Who knows, maybe one of us will actually get out of this alive!

Juria-San

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Sibeiko

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Posted: Tue Nov 28, 2006 9:59 pm

Holy crap! I'm not only "suspicious"... I'm REALLY suspicious... o.o

*starts to think that the person claiming to be a false sniper really wasn't false? o.O*

I guess...at the very least, I know I'm not getting sniped this round... maybe... since Cherry said that Merty was targeted, however, the person I spoke with said that Cherry was on the sniper's "do not kill list"... which made no sense to me... since the obvious thing to do would be to kill off the unsuspicious people first... and then she was killed... x_x

*puts up log...thanks to trill's logging... o.o*

SnipersImposter

Session Start (Sibeiko:SnipersImposter): Fri Nov 24 23:45:10 2006
[23:45:10] SnipersImposter: ...
[23:45:18] Sibeiko: O.o
[23:45:24] SnipersImposter: what?
[23:45:39] Sibeiko: you're the one that dotted meh... >_>
[23:45:47] SnipersImposter: ...so I did
[23:46:05] Sibeiko: indeed...
[23:46:40] Sibeiko: might I ask why?
[23:47:14] SnipersImposter: well, I've been meaning to talk to Cherry Wine, but she's a tough gal to get in touch with. You just happened to be online
[23:47:43] SnipersImposter: I don't think I have anything incriminating to say right now
[23:47:49] Sibeiko: Lol!
[23:48:07] Sibeiko: Well, she does seem to be worried that she's gonna be sniped... >_>
[23:48:14] SnipersImposter: oh right!
[23:48:26] SnipersImposter: Yeah, she's on the sniper's "Do Not Snipe" list.
[23:48:44] Sibeiko: interesting...
[23:49:03] SnipersImposter: because I, unlike her, actually know who the sniper is/is the sniper
[23:50:57] Sibeiko: sooo... she doesn't know then...
[23:52:16] SnipersImposter: if you choose to believe a nameless visage
[23:53:56] SnipersImposter: I'm obviously a fake
[23:54:13] Sibeiko: i couldn't tell... hehe
[23:54:22] SnipersImposter: good to know
[23:55:00] Sibeiko: but, i would like to give the sniper their due praise... so far, there seems to be a couple of "wild goose chases" that they've sent us on... ^_^
[23:55:24] SnipersImposter: on the contrary, none of those had anything to do with her
[23:55:53] SnipersImposter: or him
[23:56:54] Sibeiko: so, what you're saying is that the greatest force keeping us from figuring out who the sniper is...is ourselves?
[23:57:06] SnipersImposter: it appears that way
[23:57:36] Sibeiko: even though it's funny... and ironic... I'm not really surprised... ^_^
[23:58:20] Sibeiko: but i really did believe that the sniper played a part in those mindless sheeps... guess i was fooled...
[23:59:07] SnipersImposter: it's possible, but then the sniper's information ring would have to spread to everyone that did those sheepings. That would be difficult
[00:01:08] Sibeiko: not really, just to the person who instigated it, meaning the sniper would only have to prod a couple of people, like surrcreux (i know that's misspelled...too lazy to find her name...) to start things like what she did...and wham, large sheepings of innocent people...
[00:01:31] Sibeiko: but i do realize the possibility that she was just ticked that she got jailed...
[00:02:19] SnipersImposter: Crux started one, and so did Cherry. I suppose two people wouldn't be hard.
[00:03:15] Sibeiko: nope...and one or two more, especially near the end, would make the sniper's life MUCH easier...and eventually could wind up winning...could...
[00:03:35] Sibeiko: there's still a bit of a statistical problem... especially with the jailvoting...
[00:05:55] SnipersImposter: yep...it is my opinion that I don't like the idea of jailvoting.
[00:06:46] SnipersImposter: I must go. There is Diablo to be played
[00:07:00] Sibeiko: me neither... but the detective idea, i did like... i mean, with two killers, the game is balanced towards the killers winning, but the jailvote swings it too far the other way... iono...
[00:07:12] Sibeiko: k then, maybe we'll speak again... have fun! n_n
[00:07:21] SnipersImposter: thanks
Session Close (SnipersImposter): Sat Nov 25 00:07:57 2006

However, Roy did come up with an idea that might give us an added shot of catching the sniper...

Roy Salamandra

You know...if everyone voted for the same person, as in jail and GCDer, only jailing one person, we could actually have a chance in the last round, with 3 people alive. Hrm...

Right now, there's about a 40% chance that we'll catch the sniper (assuming zero knowledge), and if that fails, then they've won...

However, if we follow Roy's idea, then there's an initial 20% chance that we'll catch them, however, afterwards, with three people left, two will get voted (either by a probable rng, or both the sniper voting for the same person...) meaning there's about (not factoring in the fact that the sniper isn't going to vote for themselves... or else they'll be screwed... o.o) 66.7% chance AFTER that initial 20% that they'll be caught...

So, I'm voting for the jailsheep... o.o

suspicious? unsuspiciously suspicious? suspiciously unsuspicious? O.o

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