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 Posted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 5:11 pm
Okay...so...I decided to go ahead and publish my winter forecast this year...I know that it's rather early so take everything with a grain of salt.
Factors I used in this forecast: -PDO, Neutral ENSO conditions which are expected to remain through the fall and possibly remain neutral or become a weak El Nino during the winter. I also used factors such as low sunspot activity (extended solar minimum), the recent cooling of the globe, and other natural oscillations.
Northeast (PA, NY, MA, ME, VT, etc.) :
-Precipitation: I think that precip. in this area could be above normal.
-Temperatures: Average to Below Average. Coldest In December and January
Mid Atlantic (VA, MD, DC, NJ, etc.) :
-Precipitation: I think that precipitation (particularly snowfall) will be average to above average. Overall I think that this winter could definitely make up for some of the snow drought that has plagued the area for the past three winters.
-Temperatures: Avg. to below avg. Maybe a slight chance of above avg. but I doubt it. Coldest periods will be during November and December with other cold snaps throughout the rest of the winter.
Southeast (NC, SC, GA, FL, MS, LA, AL, AK, etc.) :
-Precipitation: I think that precip will be avg. Maybe above avg. if we get lucky. I do believe that we will recover quite a bit from the drought and may come close to completely busting it.
-Temperatures: Avg. to below. A moderate chance of above avg. but nothing compared to the winter of 06-07! Coldest periods could be November and December.
Midwest & Great Lakes:
-Precipitation: Drier than last winter but still pretty snowy.
-Temperatures: Below Average. Coldest periods will be...Ummm...A good chunk of the winter. ^ ^'
West:
-Precipitation: Drier than last winter.
-Temperatures: Average. We'll leave it at that.
Pacific Northwest & The Coast:
-Precipitation: Average to slightly above average.
-Temperatures: Below average due to a negative PDO. Could be cold for the majority of the winter.
Southwest:
-Temperatures: Above average.
-Precipitation: Below normal. Monsoonevans said that a ridge could set up in that region so I looked into It and It looks like it could happen.
I agree with monsoon also that from late December through February the majority of country will be very cold.
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Posted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 9:23 pm
Curious, of course I have my dis-agreements on some things but....we'll see eh? mrgreen I sure hope not, only one snowday last winter, not much was happening....Anything less than that and my state might fall back into it's drought we recently came out of. Well I can drop in sort of, "weather reports" for you from colorado if you'd like. See how your predictions go.
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Posted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 7:37 am
tiki_boyX2 Curious, of course I have my dis-agreements on some things but....we'll see eh? mrgreen I sure hope not, only one snowday last winter, not much was happening....Anything less than that and my state might fall back into it's drought we recently came out of. Well I can drop in sort of, "weather reports" for you from colorado if you'd like. See how your predictions go. That would be just dandy. smile
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Posted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 3:52 pm
Alright, sounds like a plan.
Although I know that the farmers almanac has always been fairly reliable as well...Of course I live in Colorado, one of the hardest places in the U.S. to predict weather. Especially on the front range....
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Posted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 4:17 pm
Can you do the Caribbean? I need rain. lol
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Posted: Sun Aug 17, 2008 9:22 pm
End of July to early August: Colorado Heat wave, denver at temp.'s above 90 for twenty or so days straight.
August 13-16: Rain...lots of rain and foggy gloominess, and snow on pikes peak and above 11,000ft.
Not sure how often I'll be able to make these little report things, School has started and I have a hectic schedule.
P.1 Calculus 3
P.2 Advanced drawing
P.3 AP Calc. BC
P.4 AP Calc. BC
P.5 English 4
P.6 World Geo 1
P.7 Physics.
I'm a senior and not a single free period...it's depressing.
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