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Formerly called the NCS, this is a place for communists and socialists to talk about communism and socialism. 

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azulmagia

PostPosted: Sun Oct 27, 2013 10:31 pm


SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia
arbiter_51
azulmagia
I think you mean how do you measure the need for a given degree of economic coordination. Well, what comes to mind immediately is that if you lessen the degree of coordination and the economy as whole and the parts suffer in their functioning, then you've just did.


Ok I see what you're saying now. And I agree that the need for economic coordination is a fundamental aspect of Marxism. The question is, what is the best way to meet this need? This leads me to the soviet method.


Well, how does the human body coordinate its own economy? The cybernetician Stafford Beer derived a model from neurophysiology, the Viable Systems Model. There's a precedence for its use in socialism as well - Project Cybersyn/Proyecto Synco in Allende's Chile.

Quote:
Quote:
Selection by lot, perhaps. Direct elections to each level. It's not like the soviet method is some sort of sacred cow.


Is this not how the soviet system under Lenin was originally organised? People would be elected into each soviet to manage their community or, as the level increased, their nation.


Soviets aren't direct elections though.


Cybersyn today would be a whole different animal. Think of IBM's Watson or an even better A.I.


Well, the point is that we don't actually need that kind of hardware. In fact, relying on that kind of hardware may just complicate matters. Cybersyn ran on a mainframe with the ability of a modern iPhone. Their problems stemmed in large part because that was all the capacity that could be spared.

As for other planning schemes, Cotrell and Cockshott estimated that fairly modest computing capacity is all that's needed to compute labour values from technical coefficient data. The trick is to use clever software.
PostPosted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 12:39 am


azulmagia
SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia
arbiter_51
azulmagia
I think you mean how do you measure the need for a given degree of economic coordination. Well, what comes to mind immediately is that if you lessen the degree of coordination and the economy as whole and the parts suffer in their functioning, then you've just did.


Ok I see what you're saying now. And I agree that the need for economic coordination is a fundamental aspect of Marxism. The question is, what is the best way to meet this need? This leads me to the soviet method.


Well, how does the human body coordinate its own economy? The cybernetician Stafford Beer derived a model from neurophysiology, the Viable Systems Model. There's a precedence for its use in socialism as well - Project Cybersyn/Proyecto Synco in Allende's Chile.

Quote:
Quote:
Selection by lot, perhaps. Direct elections to each level. It's not like the soviet method is some sort of sacred cow.


Is this not how the soviet system under Lenin was originally organised? People would be elected into each soviet to manage their community or, as the level increased, their nation.


Soviets aren't direct elections though.


Cybersyn today would be a whole different animal. Think of IBM's Watson or an even better A.I.


Well, the point is that we don't actually need that kind of hardware. In fact, relying on that kind of hardware may just complicate matters. Cybersyn ran on a mainframe with the ability of a modern iPhone. Their problems stemmed in large part because that was all the capacity that could be spared.

As for other planning schemes, Cotrell and Cockshott estimated that fairly modest computing capacity is all that's needed to compute labour values from technical coefficient data. The trick is to use clever software.


Why wouldn't you???

Yeah those um 2 IBM 360's your talking about have no where near a modern iphones processing power or storage.

So Im assuming your going off of this?
http://ricardo.ecn.wfu.edu/~cottrell/socialism_book/new_socialism.pdf

1993 is a looooong time ago. We have gone literally from MB harddrives to petabyte clusters for the joe blow company or even a person if he or she really wanted to... let alone the NSA's Zetabyte clusters

The question is why wouldn't you want that type of A.I. monitor supply/demand/logistics all the way to the local level? I mean corporations do this today why not just merge them all into one system?

SoViEtTaNkT34
Crew


arbiter_51

Fashionable Genius

PostPosted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 11:23 am


azulmagia
arbiter_51
azulmagia
I think you mean how do you measure the need for a given degree of economic coordination. Well, what comes to mind immediately is that if you lessen the degree of coordination and the economy as whole and the parts suffer in their functioning, then you've just did.


Ok I see what you're saying now. And I agree that the need for economic coordination is a fundamental aspect of Marxism. The question is, what is the best way to meet this need? This leads me to the soviet method.


Well, how does the human body coordinate its own economy? The cybernetician Stafford Beer derived a model from neurophysiology, the Viable Systems Model. There's a precedence for its use in socialism as well - Project Cybersyn/Proyecto Synco in Allende's Chile.

Quote:
Quote:
Selection by lot, perhaps. Direct elections to each level. It's not like the soviet method is some sort of sacred cow.


Is this not how the soviet system under Lenin was originally organised? People would be elected into each soviet to manage their community or, as the level increased, their nation.


Soviets aren't direct elections though.


Interesting topic you brought up about Chile. But even with system of supercomputers managing a planned economy, you would still need to worry about the different levels of a planned economy. Computers would be good for managing large scale materials like steel or auto-manufacturing but it seems to me that a community based planning system would run smooth by directly having the community in control.

And about the Soviet system, what about Gorbachev's system where multiple candidates were able to be elected by the will of the people?
PostPosted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 2:18 pm


arbiter_51
azulmagia
arbiter_51
azulmagia
I think you mean how do you measure the need for a given degree of economic coordination. Well, what comes to mind immediately is that if you lessen the degree of coordination and the economy as whole and the parts suffer in their functioning, then you've just did.


Ok I see what you're saying now. And I agree that the need for economic coordination is a fundamental aspect of Marxism. The question is, what is the best way to meet this need? This leads me to the soviet method.


Well, how does the human body coordinate its own economy? The cybernetician Stafford Beer derived a model from neurophysiology, the Viable Systems Model. There's a precedence for its use in socialism as well - Project Cybersyn/Proyecto Synco in Allende's Chile.

Quote:
Quote:
Selection by lot, perhaps. Direct elections to each level. It's not like the soviet method is some sort of sacred cow.


Is this not how the soviet system under Lenin was originally organised? People would be elected into each soviet to manage their community or, as the level increased, their nation.


Soviets aren't direct elections though.


Interesting topic you brought up about Chile. But even with system of supercomputers managing a planned economy, you would still need to worry about the different levels of a planned economy. Computers would be good for managing large scale materials like steel or auto-manufacturing but it seems to me that a community based planning system would run smooth by directly having the community in control.

And about the Soviet system, what about Gorbachev's system where multiple candidates were able to be elected by the will of the people?


Planning of what at the local level?

To remind you that agriculture is becoming increasingly automated as well.

Have you partaken in local politics/ community politics before? It is hardly efficient/smooth.

SoViEtTaNkT34
Crew


azulmagia

PostPosted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 4:29 pm


SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia
Well, the point is that we don't actually need that kind of hardware. In fact, relying on that kind of hardware may just complicate matters. Cybersyn ran on a mainframe with the ability of a modern iPhone. Their problems stemmed in large part because that was all the capacity that could be spared.

As for other planning schemes, Cotrell and Cockshott estimated that fairly modest computing capacity is all that's needed to compute labour values from technical coefficient data. The trick is to use clever software.


Why wouldn't you???

Yeah those um 2 IBM 360's your talking about have no where near a modern iphones processing power or storage.

So Im assuming your going off of this?
http://ricardo.ecn.wfu.edu/~cottrell/socialism_book/new_socialism.pdf


Yeah, that's the book I was referring to.

Quote:
1993 is a looooong time ago. We have gone literally from MB harddrives to petabyte clusters for the joe blow company or even a person if he or she really wanted to... let alone the NSA's Zetabyte clusters

The question is why wouldn't you want that type of A.I. monitor supply/demand/logistics all the way to the local level? I mean corporations do this today why not just merge them all into one system?


Well, The local level isn't going to have petabyte clusters, nor will it need 'em. Also, pretty much by definition, a revolution is initially going to be in control of a fairly localized area. It'll have to use what computer power is available to it on the spot.

Of course, you can't work out labour-time costs without coefficient data. If every enterprise is wired into a Cybersyn-style system, this not only can be done, but random noise in the system can be effectively filtered out, so the disaggregated matrix is not updated without necessity. From there, the data would be available to planners at all levels.

In any case, one should not multiply entities without necessity. One reason cybernization failed in the USSR is not just because it would just automate the existing system, it was also going to cost billions of rubles. So it didn't look like a worthwhile investment when all was said and done.


arbiter_51
Interesting topic you brought up about Chile. But even with system of supercomputers managing a planned economy, you would still need to worry about the different levels of a planned economy. Computers would be good for managing large scale materials like steel or auto-manufacturing but it seems to me that a community based planning system would run smooth by directly having the community in control.


Well, the same software would be used at all levels, since the system it's based on (the Viable Systems Model) is isomorphic on all levels of recursion. The methodology fro determining system instability is the same no matter the level.

If there's a real place for supercomputers, it's not for day-to-day operations, but for economic simulations, to dry-run policies. That's one aspect of Project Cybersyn that never worked out as planned. As far literature on it's concerned the .pdf of "Fanfare fro Effective Freedom" is floating on the internet, and as far as paper books, I recommend Eden Medina's Cybernetic Revolutionaries.

Quote:
And about the Soviet system, what about Gorbachev's system where multiple candidates were able to be elected by the will of the people?


I'm not familiar with that, I'm afraid.
PostPosted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 7:06 pm


SoViEtTaNkT34
arbiter_51
azulmagia
arbiter_51
azulmagia
I think you mean how do you measure the need for a given degree of economic coordination. Well, what comes to mind immediately is that if you lessen the degree of coordination and the economy as whole and the parts suffer in their functioning, then you've just did.


Ok I see what you're saying now. And I agree that the need for economic coordination is a fundamental aspect of Marxism. The question is, what is the best way to meet this need? This leads me to the soviet method.


Well, how does the human body coordinate its own economy? The cybernetician Stafford Beer derived a model from neurophysiology, the Viable Systems Model. There's a precedence for its use in socialism as well - Project Cybersyn/Proyecto Synco in Allende's Chile.

Quote:
Quote:
Selection by lot, perhaps. Direct elections to each level. It's not like the soviet method is some sort of sacred cow.


Is this not how the soviet system under Lenin was originally organised? People would be elected into each soviet to manage their community or, as the level increased, their nation.


Soviets aren't direct elections though.


Interesting topic you brought up about Chile. But even with system of supercomputers managing a planned economy, you would still need to worry about the different levels of a planned economy. Computers would be good for managing large scale materials like steel or auto-manufacturing but it seems to me that a community based planning system would run smooth by directly having the community in control.

And about the Soviet system, what about Gorbachev's system where multiple candidates were able to be elected by the will of the people?


Planning of what at the local level?

To remind you that agriculture is becoming increasingly automated as well.

Have you partaken in local politics/ community politics before? It is hardly efficient/smooth.


Planning the local economy.

Im kind of basing my thoughts off of this town
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/oct/20/marinaleda-spanish-communist-village-utopia

Its seems like they are running fine without the help of super computers managing their economy for them. It almost seems like just the state of mind that they are in is keeping them moving forward.

arbiter_51

Fashionable Genius


SoViEtTaNkT34
Crew

PostPosted: Tue Oct 29, 2013 12:07 am


arbiter_51
SoViEtTaNkT34
arbiter_51
azulmagia
arbiter_51


Ok I see what you're saying now. And I agree that the need for economic coordination is a fundamental aspect of Marxism. The question is, what is the best way to meet this need? This leads me to the soviet method.


Well, how does the human body coordinate its own economy? The cybernetician Stafford Beer derived a model from neurophysiology, the Viable Systems Model. There's a precedence for its use in socialism as well - Project Cybersyn/Proyecto Synco in Allende's Chile.

Quote:


Is this not how the soviet system under Lenin was originally organised? People would be elected into each soviet to manage their community or, as the level increased, their nation.


Soviets aren't direct elections though.


Interesting topic you brought up about Chile. But even with system of supercomputers managing a planned economy, you would still need to worry about the different levels of a planned economy. Computers would be good for managing large scale materials like steel or auto-manufacturing but it seems to me that a community based planning system would run smooth by directly having the community in control.

And about the Soviet system, what about Gorbachev's system where multiple candidates were able to be elected by the will of the people?


Planning of what at the local level?

To remind you that agriculture is becoming increasingly automated as well.

Have you partaken in local politics/ community politics before? It is hardly efficient/smooth.


Planning the local economy.

Im kind of basing my thoughts off of this town
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/oct/20/marinaleda-spanish-communist-village-utopia

Its seems like they are running fine without the help of super computers managing their economy for them. It almost seems like just the state of mind that they are in is keeping them moving forward.


You didn't answer my question of what the local economy entails in post capitalism other than outdated inefficient farming techniques.

You do realize the major problem of food production in capitalism is an oxymoron right? The more a society becomes efficient in agriculture the less profit. Aka Ernst Engel's Law. Its the main reason why there are caps on certain cropsin the market and the rest of it just rots regardless of the number of starving people. If we maximized our agriculture then farmers and farming corporations would literally go bankrupt.

The only reason why I bring it up is mainly it seems the local economy in that village of only 2700 is local produce which would either not be needed or would be strictly for personal use.


Soylentcould one day just wipe the floor with it all together.
PostPosted: Tue Oct 29, 2013 12:19 am


azulmagia

Well, The local level isn't going to have petabyte clusters, nor will it need 'em. Also, pretty much by definition, a revolution is initially going to be in control of a fairly localized area. It'll have to use what computer power is available to it on the spot.

Of course, you can't work out labour-time costs without coefficient data. If every enterprise is wired into a Cybersyn-style system, this not only can be done, but random noise in the system can be effectively filtered out, so the disaggregated matrix is not updated without necessity. From there, the data would be available to planners at all levels.

In any case, one should not multiply entities without necessity. One reason cybernization failed in the USSR is not just because it would just automate the existing system, it was also going to cost billions of rubles. So it didn't look like a worthwhile investment when all was said and done.



There is a big difference in Computing and cost today than there was 23 years ago. The gift cards you give to friends/family that have cute sayings have way more processing power than the computers in WW2. I think its easily 10x more.

See to me the planners wouldn't be as needed as once the "fancy software" is developed I.E. a powerful A.I. I'm sure even today with Java, Python, C+ or even as old as REX you could write a program that would destroy Cybersyn and the amount of planners necessary for operation let alone a complex A.I.

SoViEtTaNkT34
Crew


azulmagia

PostPosted: Tue Oct 29, 2013 2:00 am


SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia

Well, The local level isn't going to have petabyte clusters, nor will it need 'em. Also, pretty much by definition, a revolution is initially going to be in control of a fairly localized area. It'll have to use what computer power is available to it on the spot.

Of course, you can't work out labour-time costs without coefficient data. If every enterprise is wired into a Cybersyn-style system, this not only can be done, but random noise in the system can be effectively filtered out, so the disaggregated matrix is not updated without necessity. From there, the data would be available to planners at all levels.

In any case, one should not multiply entities without necessity. One reason cybernization failed in the USSR is not just because it would just automate the existing system, it was also going to cost billions of rubles. So it didn't look like a worthwhile investment when all was said and done.



There is a big difference in Computing and cost today than there was 23 years ago. The gift cards you give to friends/family that have cute sayings have way more processing power than the computers in WW2. I think its easily 10x more.

See to me the planners wouldn't be as needed as once the "fancy software" is developed I.E. a powerful A.I. I'm sure even today with Java, Python, C+ or even as old as REX you could write a program that would destroy Cybersyn and the amount of planners necessary for operation let alone a complex A.I.


Like Cotrell and Cockshott, I'd prefer to show what is able to be done right now using very modest processing power, just to show those calculation problem scolds what's doable.

More to the point, there's no point in using computers at all if they're just going to be used as storage for and to crunch dead data. Computers ought to be used to do the things human beings can't.
PostPosted: Tue Oct 29, 2013 4:39 am


Been a while since I replied, sorry for that.

Azul:
Selection by lot isn't bad, and is truly democratic. I have nothing against that. The points I posted seem to me to be a minimum of democratic procedure needed. You ask if bourgeois parties should be allowed, and my response is 'meh'. It really depends on local conditions, though I'm inclined to allow them, for the simple reason that I don't expect they will have much support, while any degeneration would not require outright capitalist parties. About recallable candidates, yes, I do take it literally. 15 minutes after the election they can be recalled. I don't see it as much of a problem, really. But having some limit between an election and when they can be recalled, in order to prove themselves, isn't that much of an imposition.

On administration:
I am fully confident that modern literacy and numeracy mean that we can implement the part-time administrative staff point immediately. On the other half of the issue, where you point out the need for all work to be part time. I'm also fully confident that this part can be implemented relatively quickly. There are so many jobs that can be abolished or downsized right now. Jewlery manufacture, advertising, finance, insurance, commodified cultural production.... So these jobs take up a huge chunk of the workforce, people which can be put to work in productive jobs, reducing the need for individuals to work the same hours while producing the same amount of s**t (this is important in general, but also specifically with regard to your point about remunerattion). If the average work week is cut down to 20 hours, then adding another 10 for admin s**t will still result in much lower work week over all, leaving more time for education, cultural, and scientific pursuits. If this results, at first, in more admin work, then I am ok with that, so long as there is not a group of people who become deciders and implementers separate from the rest of the population. My denunciations of bureaucracy are not the leninist criticisms of red tape, but of that group of deciders and implementers separate from the producers who are in a position to appropriate a part of the social labour for themselves.

You point out that there's a difference between decision making admin and paper pushing admin work, and that's entirely correct. But that decision making, whether in bureaucracy or in a factory or in a food distribution warehouse/supermarket/however s**t is organised then is a 'responsible position' that should be subject to election or, as you suggested, selection by lot.

On workplace management:
My position is informed by the results of what happened in the Soviet Union with the spetsi and party/soviet management (Pirani's The Russian Revolution in Retreat is a really good read on this). This might have not been evident at the time, but we have history to help say how things work out, so.

On the vanguard:
Sure, the 'taking power' part and the 'revolutionising social relations' part are very different, have different timescales, and different participants, however in this case I was only talking about the 'taking power' part. I don't think voting in current elections really constitutes political activity, but regardless of whether it does or not, I was talking about in a revolution. There will be a general collapse of whatever form of rule is present, the mass of the class will mostly go about its business as normal, keeping an eye on how things go for that minority of the class engaged in the important strikes, street battles, and political activity in whatever organs are thrown up. That section of that minority which is leading and directing these efforts, both through personal influence, organisational connections, and class politics, that forms the vanguard. The point was, however, that I don't think there's any need for 'a' vanguard party, but also that opposiition to vanguardism is just nonsense. I really don't think it's meaningful to talk of a vanguard outside a revolutionary situation, however.

I don't think you really addressed what I said in my 'two possibilities' of the left at the moment. You mmade some comments, but I don't think they were really addressing what I was asking, and I am interested in what your thoughts are.
Possibility 1: The ideas of the left (as a whole) have been shown to be wrong by the trend fo the last few decades of leftist impotence and decline.
Conclusion 1: We need to find out what is wrong, and fix it.
OR
Possibility 2: The ideas of the left (or some subset of the left) are correct, however there has been no organisational success because the historical situation is such that there is no possibility for success in this period.
Conclusion 2: ease off the party form at the moment, recognise that the point at this stage is to 'hold the torch' for a future generation in another period, and treat activism as a subculture and not a meaningful or useful activity.

I don't know which of those is correct, which is why I bring it up often.
(my instinct is anti-voluntarist cynicism, while also participating in the activist subculture because it's not like I have anything else to do, but that isn't an answer, is it)

(Also, Draper's points on organising and political centres is what I currently subscribe to, though I find the schactmanite politics is something I find gross)

On 'the abbility to produce more stuff':
I didn't say that 'the ability to produce more stuff' is what determines coordination, nor was it the intended implication. The intended implication, rather, was that iit should. And 'producing more stuff' would be systemic purpose. I desire a post-scarcity world, and post scarcity means producing and distributing a ******** of s**t. Yes, we produce a lot now, but just as you point out, the ability to produce has increased the necessity of coordination, and that coordination is not possible under capitalism. Now, maybe you were pointing out that it's not simply how much we produce, but also what we produce, and that's a fair point (though if so, you raised it in an abstract way).

Le Pere Duchesne
Captain

Beloved Prophet


SoViEtTaNkT34
Crew

PostPosted: Wed Oct 30, 2013 1:31 pm


azulmagia
SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia

Well, The local level isn't going to have petabyte clusters, nor will it need 'em. Also, pretty much by definition, a revolution is initially going to be in control of a fairly localized area. It'll have to use what computer power is available to it on the spot.

Of course, you can't work out labour-time costs without coefficient data. If every enterprise is wired into a Cybersyn-style system, this not only can be done, but random noise in the system can be effectively filtered out, so the disaggregated matrix is not updated without necessity. From there, the data would be available to planners at all levels.

In any case, one should not multiply entities without necessity. One reason cybernization failed in the USSR is not just because it would just automate the existing system, it was also going to cost billions of rubles. So it didn't look like a worthwhile investment when all was said and done.



There is a big difference in Computing and cost today than there was 23 years ago. The gift cards you give to friends/family that have cute sayings have way more processing power than the computers in WW2. I think its easily 10x more.

See to me the planners wouldn't be as needed as once the "fancy software" is developed I.E. a powerful A.I. I'm sure even today with Java, Python, C+ or even as old as REX you could write a program that would destroy Cybersyn and the amount of planners necessary for operation let alone a complex A.I.


Like Cotrell and Cockshott, I'd prefer to show what is able to be done right now using very modest processing power, just to show those calculation problem scolds what's doable.

More to the point, there's no point in using computers at all if they're just going to be used as storage for and to crunch dead data. Computers ought to be used to do the things human beings can't.


No computers and robotic automation should be used to eventually replace human labor to more of a want rather than a need.

Storage is necessary for logistics and long term planning regardless. I mean sure we could just store print out copies or how about just get information via ticker tape at that point?

Sure we can keep building our electronics with human hands like in Shenzhen but why do that when even in capitalism they are starting to replace them with robots? Why go backwards?


Edit

As Grac stated
Quote:
On 'the abbility to produce more stuff':
I didn't say that 'the ability to produce more stuff' is what determines coordination, nor was it the intended implication. The intended implication, rather, was that iit should. And 'producing more stuff' would be systemic purpose. I desire a post-scarcity world, and post scarcity means producing and distributing a ******** of s**t. Yes, we produce a lot now, but just as you point out, the ability to produce has increased the necessity of coordination, and that coordination is not possible under capitalism. Now, maybe you were pointing out that it's not simply how much we produce, but also what we produce, and that's a fair point (though if so, you raised it in an abstract way).
PostPosted: Wed Oct 30, 2013 6:31 pm


SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia
SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia

Well, The local level isn't going to have petabyte clusters, nor will it need 'em. Also, pretty much by definition, a revolution is initially going to be in control of a fairly localized area. It'll have to use what computer power is available to it on the spot.

Of course, you can't work out labour-time costs without coefficient data. If every enterprise is wired into a Cybersyn-style system, this not only can be done, but random noise in the system can be effectively filtered out, so the disaggregated matrix is not updated without necessity. From there, the data would be available to planners at all levels.

In any case, one should not multiply entities without necessity. One reason cybernization failed in the USSR is not just because it would just automate the existing system, it was also going to cost billions of rubles. So it didn't look like a worthwhile investment when all was said and done.



There is a big difference in Computing and cost today than there was 23 years ago. The gift cards you give to friends/family that have cute sayings have way more processing power than the computers in WW2. I think its easily 10x more.

See to me the planners wouldn't be as needed as once the "fancy software" is developed I.E. a powerful A.I. I'm sure even today with Java, Python, C+ or even as old as REX you could write a program that would destroy Cybersyn and the amount of planners necessary for operation let alone a complex A.I.


Like Cotrell and Cockshott, I'd prefer to show what is able to be done right now using very modest processing power, just to show those calculation problem scolds what's doable.

More to the point, there's no point in using computers at all if they're just going to be used as storage for and to crunch dead data. Computers ought to be used to do the things human beings can't.


No computers and robotic automation should be used to eventually replace human labor to more of a want rather than a need.


I'm not talking about the robots vs. human labour issue.

Quote:
Storage is necessary for logistics and long term planning regardless. I mean sure we could just store print out copies or how about just get information via ticker tape at that point?


True, but it's impossible to generate every variant of every possible plan in advance. Correct quantities are going to have to be produced as they are needed, when they are needed. Massive databases aren't needed for that, just a solid technique. If data is to be stored, the main point would be to provide sufficient background knowledge for Bayesian tests of systemic stability. There is a rational kernel in the calculationist's argument. While it's true that a plan can be calculated with today's technology, there's more to the kind of planning that we want, and complexity dictates that there's no "abacus" for that. However it doesn't follow that the planning task is impossible, it means that instead of a metaphorical "abacus", we need metaphorical "scales" - just as we use scales to determine whether two weights are the same, without having to count each individual atom. This is the possibility that the calculationists overlook.

azulmagia


SoViEtTaNkT34
Crew

PostPosted: Thu Oct 31, 2013 10:04 am


azulmagia
SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia
SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia

Well, The local level isn't going to have petabyte clusters, nor will it need 'em. Also, pretty much by definition, a revolution is initially going to be in control of a fairly localized area. It'll have to use what computer power is available to it on the spot.

Of course, you can't work out labour-time costs without coefficient data. If every enterprise is wired into a Cybersyn-style system, this not only can be done, but random noise in the system can be effectively filtered out, so the disaggregated matrix is not updated without necessity. From there, the data would be available to planners at all levels.

In any case, one should not multiply entities without necessity. One reason cybernization failed in the USSR is not just because it would just automate the existing system, it was also going to cost billions of rubles. So it didn't look like a worthwhile investment when all was said and done.



There is a big difference in Computing and cost today than there was 23 years ago. The gift cards you give to friends/family that have cute sayings have way more processing power than the computers in WW2. I think its easily 10x more.

See to me the planners wouldn't be as needed as once the "fancy software" is developed I.E. a powerful A.I. I'm sure even today with Java, Python, C+ or even as old as REX you could write a program that would destroy Cybersyn and the amount of planners necessary for operation let alone a complex A.I.


Like Cotrell and Cockshott, I'd prefer to show what is able to be done right now using very modest processing power, just to show those calculation problem scolds what's doable.

More to the point, there's no point in using computers at all if they're just going to be used as storage for and to crunch dead data. Computers ought to be used to do the things human beings can't.


No computers and robotic automation should be used to eventually replace human labor to more of a want rather than a need.


I'm not talking about the robots vs. human labour issue.

Quote:
Storage is necessary for logistics and long term planning regardless. I mean sure we could just store print out copies or how about just get information via ticker tape at that point?


True, but it's impossible to generate every variant of every possible plan in advance. Correct quantities are going to have to be produced as they are needed, when they are needed. Massive databases aren't needed for that, just a solid technique. If data is to be stored, the main point would be to provide sufficient background knowledge for Bayesian tests of systemic stability. There is a rational kernel in the calculationist's argument. While it's true that a plan can be calculated with today's technology, there's more to the kind of planning that we want, and complexity dictates that there's no "abacus" for that. However it doesn't follow that the planning task is impossible, it means that instead of a metaphorical "abacus", we need metaphorical "scales" - just as we use scales to determine whether two weights are the same, without having to count each individual atom. This is the possibility that the calculationists overlook.


You lost me at Metaphorical abacus and Metaphorical scales. Also what do you mean by Rational Kernel? All I can think of when I think of Kernel is of a computing/linux Kernel.
PostPosted: Thu Oct 31, 2013 6:10 pm


SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia
SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia
SoViEtTaNkT34



There is a big difference in Computing and cost today than there was 23 years ago. The gift cards you give to friends/family that have cute sayings have way more processing power than the computers in WW2. I think its easily 10x more.

See to me the planners wouldn't be as needed as once the "fancy software" is developed I.E. a powerful A.I. I'm sure even today with Java, Python, C+ or even as old as REX you could write a program that would destroy Cybersyn and the amount of planners necessary for operation let alone a complex A.I.


Like Cotrell and Cockshott, I'd prefer to show what is able to be done right now using very modest processing power, just to show those calculation problem scolds what's doable.

More to the point, there's no point in using computers at all if they're just going to be used as storage for and to crunch dead data. Computers ought to be used to do the things human beings can't.


No computers and robotic automation should be used to eventually replace human labor to more of a want rather than a need.


I'm not talking about the robots vs. human labour issue.

Quote:
Storage is necessary for logistics and long term planning regardless. I mean sure we could just store print out copies or how about just get information via ticker tape at that point?


True, but it's impossible to generate every variant of every possible plan in advance. Correct quantities are going to have to be produced as they are needed, when they are needed. Massive databases aren't needed for that, just a solid technique. If data is to be stored, the main point would be to provide sufficient background knowledge for Bayesian tests of systemic stability. There is a rational kernel in the calculationist's argument. While it's true that a plan can be calculated with today's technology, there's more to the kind of planning that we want, and complexity dictates that there's no "abacus" for that. However it doesn't follow that the planning task is impossible, it means that instead of a metaphorical "abacus", we need metaphorical "scales" - just as we use scales to determine whether two weights are the same, without having to count each individual atom. This is the possibility that the calculationists overlook.


You lost me at Metaphorical abacus and Metaphorical scales. Also what do you mean by Rational Kernel? All I can think of when I think of Kernel is of a computing/linux Kernel.


Just this: systems of unfathomable complexity can still be managed, just not algorithmically, but heuristically. It's this option that Hayek et al. don't take into account.

azulmagia


SoViEtTaNkT34
Crew

PostPosted: Thu Nov 07, 2013 7:10 am


azulmagia
SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia
SoViEtTaNkT34
azulmagia


Like Cotrell and Cockshott, I'd prefer to show what is able to be done right now using very modest processing power, just to show those calculation problem scolds what's doable.

More to the point, there's no point in using computers at all if they're just going to be used as storage for and to crunch dead data. Computers ought to be used to do the things human beings can't.


No computers and robotic automation should be used to eventually replace human labor to more of a want rather than a need.


I'm not talking about the robots vs. human labour issue.

Quote:
Storage is necessary for logistics and long term planning regardless. I mean sure we could just store print out copies or how about just get information via ticker tape at that point?


True, but it's impossible to generate every variant of every possible plan in advance. Correct quantities are going to have to be produced as they are needed, when they are needed. Massive databases aren't needed for that, just a solid technique. If data is to be stored, the main point would be to provide sufficient background knowledge for Bayesian tests of systemic stability. There is a rational kernel in the calculationist's argument. While it's true that a plan can be calculated with today's technology, there's more to the kind of planning that we want, and complexity dictates that there's no "abacus" for that. However it doesn't follow that the planning task is impossible, it means that instead of a metaphorical "abacus", we need metaphorical "scales" - just as we use scales to determine whether two weights are the same, without having to count each individual atom. This is the possibility that the calculationists overlook.


You lost me at Metaphorical abacus and Metaphorical scales. Also what do you mean by Rational Kernel? All I can think of when I think of Kernel is of a computing/linux Kernel.


Just this: systems of unfathomable complexity can still be managed, just not algorithmically, but heuristically. It's this option that Hayek et al. don't take into account.

See I dont think the "unfathomable complexity" is in fact that unfathomable when it comes to production. The fact that we literally have IBM tracking Pork to your Fork to me shows a far more algorithmic approach for distribution.

I could see heuristic approach when it comes with products you want to make sure are in stock but it doesnt make much sense. Unless your talking about luxury goods/inferior goods I can see your point but even then you have the data on people that buy vehicles, personal computers, etc etc
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MCS: Marxism, Communism, Socialism

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