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Posted: Sat Jan 05, 2008 10:36 pm
In short, we live in a time when commodities provide for escape from reality... at least mentally. That's always been a little bit true.... but it really is a new thing that the idea is actually more valuable than the physical good. Consider that the Coca-Cola brand is worth more than all the cokes in the world in terms of revenue.
We are living in an age where people are seeking identities to apply to themselves, to know who they are. And they are willing to pay for it.
Technology is also getting very close to creating virtual realities that are indistinguishable from this reality.
It's both fascinating and disturbing at the same time. This is the way it's going though.
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Posted: Sat Jan 05, 2008 11:33 pm
Quote: The American jobs are lost because of the inherent flaws of capitalism. No, the jobs are lost because the AFL-CIO bureaucracy, tied to the Democrats as it is, rejects the necessity of strike action. During the December 05 transit strike in NY, the labour tops never even declared support for the strike, let alone allow sypmathy and solidarity strikes. Until the working class is led by a revolutionary party--in reality, not just name--it will continue to be defeated, just like the afformentioned strike was. And the workers will be defeated by the treachery of the labour tops, through the fact that no matter how 'radical' or 'militant' the language of the bureaucrats, they will always sell out to the bourgeoisie the first chance they get. If workers struk when being threatened with being laid-off they would be stronger in organisation, and they would be jobs: As soon as one company tries to out-source the workers strike, then come the sympathy and solidarity strikes and then the capitalists affected by those will bring pressure on the original capitalists to not out-source. Quote: There will always be a tension between the interests of the worker and that of the capitalist. The worker always seeks higher wages and improved conditions, whereas the capitalist wants the most labor at the lowest cost so as to produce the maximum profit. Capitalism functions because there's a sort of balance between the two. No, that was the case under pre-monopoly capitalism, but now there is no such balance in any country. But that doesn't mean capitalism will die through a lack of 'balance'. Capitalism, right now, has more forces arrayed on its side than does the proletariat, that is why it is still in the lead: It has a bigger army and more Generals. Quote: However, in cases like the US economy, that balance is no longer there, because US laws are such that workers' rights are to a certain degree protected, when international laws are not. Therefore it's significantly more profitable for large businesses to move their factories overseas, where the workers don't have the power to stand up for themselves, and so they won't have to pay as much money. Workers in the US get screwed, because they can no longer find jobs, and workers in other countries get exploited and have poor working conditions. The only people winning in this case are the capitalists. Bring Back the 'Free Market'! Bring back the 'balance between the interests of labour and capital'! Then all will be well you say? Quote: This leaves open the question as to why US workers don't take to the streets and further stand up for their jobs and rights. The streets are paved with the interests of the petty-bourgeois. Workers need to first exist as a class-for-itself as opposed the the class-of-itself that it is now. Untill the proletariat follows what I have said above, they will not have the power to leave the factory for any length of time, let alone take to the streets. Furthermore, if there is any taking-to-the-streets to be done, it damn well better not be in defence of 'rights' but rather against the bourgeoisie, gun in one hand, noose to throw over the lamp-post in the other. (ok, in america the noose thing might be a bit much, but in france where the noose has a revolutionary and not reactionary history it should certainly happen smile ) Quote: This is where excess consumerism comes in... we've created for ourselves a culture in which a significant amount of people live a relatively comfortable life. That is a great problem. But it is for this reason that the theory of permanent revolution expects the revolution to first spark in the non-imperialist centres. After that, yes, it does divilve into random ranting, so I shall not touch that. Quote: but it really is a new thing that the idea is actually more valuable than the physical good[...] Not that new. And the fact that the bourgeoisie is trading mostly in goodwill products, gambling with shares and futures and all the other stuff that has been happening in the stock market for 200-odd-years, the fact that this has become dominant proves how little faith the bourgeoisie has in its own economic dominance. It is as if they know that industry will collapse tomorrow, so there is no point building a new factory, just buy partial ownership of someone elses.
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Posted: Sat Jan 05, 2008 11:46 pm
Gracchvs Quote: The American jobs are lost because of the inherent flaws of capitalism. No, the jobs are lost because the AFL-CIO bureaucracy, tied to the Democrats as it is, rejects the necessity of strike action. During the December 05 transit strike in NY, the labour tops never even declared support for the strike, let alone allow sypmathy and solidarity strikes. Until the working class is led by a revolutionary party--in reality, not just name--it will continue to be defeated, just like the afformentioned strike was. And the workers will be defeated by the treachery of the labour tops, through the fact that no matter how 'radical' or 'militant' the language of the bureaucrats, they will always sell out to the bourgeoisie the first chance they get. If workers struk when being threatened with being laid-off they would be stronger in organisation, and they would be jobs: As soon as one company tries to out-source the workers strike, then come the sympathy and solidarity strikes and then the capitalists affected by those will bring pressure on the original capitalists to not out-source. Quote: There will always be a tension between the interests of the worker and that of the capitalist. The worker always seeks higher wages and improved conditions, whereas the capitalist wants the most labor at the lowest cost so as to produce the maximum profit. Capitalism functions because there's a sort of balance between the two. No, that was the case under pre-monopoly capitalism, but now there is no such balance in any country. But that doesn't mean capitalism will die through a lack of 'balance'. Capitalism, right now, has more forces arrayed on its side than does the proletariat, that is why it is still in the lead: It has a bigger army and more Generals. Quote: However, in cases like the US economy, that balance is no longer there, because US laws are such that workers' rights are to a certain degree protected, when international laws are not. Therefore it's significantly more profitable for large businesses to move their factories overseas, where the workers don't have the power to stand up for themselves, and so they won't have to pay as much money. Workers in the US get screwed, because they can no longer find jobs, and workers in other countries get exploited and have poor working conditions. The only people winning in this case are the capitalists. Bring Back the 'Free Market'! Bring back the 'balance between the interests of labour and capital'! Then all will be well you say? Quote: This leaves open the question as to why US workers don't take to the streets and further stand up for their jobs and rights. The streets are paved with the interests of the petty-bourgeois. Workers need to first exist as a class-for-itself as opposed the the class-of-itself that it is now. Untill the proletariat follows what I have said above, they will not have the power to leave the factory for any length of time, let alone take to the streets. Furthermore, if there is any taking-to-the-streets to be done, it damn well better not be in defence of 'rights' but rather against the bourgeoisie, gun in one hand, noose to throw over the lamp-post in the other. (ok, in america the noose thing might be a bit much, but in france where the noose has a revolutionary and not reactionary history it should certainly happen smile ) Quote: This is where excess consumerism comes in... we've created for ourselves a culture in which a significant amount of people live a relatively comfortable life. That is a great problem. But it is for this reason that the theory of permanent revolution expects the revolution to first spark in the non-imperialist centres. After that, yes, it does divilve into random ranting, so I shall not touch that. Quote: but it really is a new thing that the idea is actually more valuable than the physical good[...] Not that new. And the fact that the bourgeoisie is trading mostly in goodwill products, gambling with shares and futures and all the other stuff that has been happening in the stock market for 200-odd-years, the fact that this has become dominant proves how little faith the bourgeoisie has in its own economic dominance. It is as if they know that industry will collapse tomorrow, so there is no point building a new factory, just buy partial ownership of someone elses. See, the problem is also that entire industries are outsourcing, so striking workers isn't really going to do anything but to improve motivation for movement of operations overseas. You have to organize labor in such a way that being organized and taking action doesn't mean an even greater reason for a loss of one's job. And no, fixing the balance between labor and capital isn't the answer. The differing interests between labor and capital is one of capitalism's biggest weaknesses, and we should use it to our advantage. What we should be doing is eradicating capitalism as an antiquated system that is no longer fit for today's world. As far as who has the armies, it won't matter in the end, as long as you give the armies a reason to defect, ie, prove through your actions that it is in their best interests to do so. The 1917 revolution would have ended up like 1905 if it wasn't for the soldier's vast dissatisfaction with involvement in WWI, but this gave the soldiers reason to believe that the tsar's interests were not aligned with their own interests, and so, during the conflict, the vast majority switched sides. Also, increasing numbers of workers in the US these days don't work in factories, but rather in service-based industries, which are harder to organize effectively.
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Posted: Tue May 12, 2009 5:32 am
Updated with the version I posted in EDP in december. Not much has changed... The post itself is no differe, but I added footnotes to explain some things a little further... Quote: Quote: Canada, GB, Poland, France, Australia, Ireland, Iceland, and Germany. Ok... Canada? what would Canada be able to contribute to a defence against an invasion of north america? If the situation is such that the US is caught on the back foot, then nothng Canada can mobilize would be useful, as it would also be caught by suprise. Brittain: The days of Brittania ruling the waves are gone, the situation there is much the same as with Canada, though because of its distance, it would be able to coordinate and reinforcements it supplies, so later on it may help a bit. Poland: Poland is in the middle of central europe. Not only is it in such an out-of-the-way possition, but its economy, dispite all the cheering wall street has made over the past decade, is in no condition to wage a major war. * France: the french economy is such that it may be able to help, though with the political situation in europe, it would most likely see this as a chance to break free of the US completely, and challenge Germany for easter europe. Australia: Have you been here? it is a country near enough in size to the US, though it has a population of only 21-odd million. Not only that, but while the country is reputed to have the best standard infantry on the planet, such an armed force is only about 5000 strong I think. Not very useful. For all the 'friendship' between these two countries (and I wonder how this 'friendship will change after the next ellections, both here and in the US) the actuall commitment of the Australian military is small (there have been 3 deaths in Afghanistan... one of them was either friendly-fire, suicide or an idiot playing with his gun without the safety on... they do not know which). Ireland? I know almost nothing about Ireland, so I will not comment there. Iceland... Come on, Iceland? I have no idea about the country or its people, but the worth of such an ally seems more political than military. Germany: Germany and France are currently in competition for the EU, that is, who gets eastern europe as its private domain. In any situation I think this will be the main factor. If France is not in a position to use its nuclear weaopnry, Germany would most likely side with the Non-French side. France would lose. **Now, the main question: would the US be able to take an invasion? The economy of the US is going down. Increasing foreign debt while decreasing the domestic manufacturing sector is something that would play . the US if it were attacked. (who would attack? I have no idea, and that question is not important for this part of the post) The US, while still the only superpower in military strength, is declining economicaly. Unless US capitalism is able to rectify this, it is actually only a matter of time untill someone comes along with the ability to breat it. ***Who would attack? China? most people would say this, just as most people would say that the SU would have been the one to attack first if the cold war were to have turned hot. But both are wrong. The SU didn't attack and the PRC won't attack for one reason: Socialism in one country. This stalinist dogma seeks 'peaceful co-existence' with western capitalism in order to create the socialist paradise. What this means in practice is that either capitalism will be restored in mainland China as in the SU, or the PRC is to turn in on itself, deny western capitalism and its technological advancements and resources and go the road of Cuba: ecologically sustainable, but hella poor. However, that much is irrelevant, what is important is that the CCP needs a stable capitalist world if it is to catch up technologically to the west and be able to justify its existence to the chinese people. It is no threat in the offence. Defensively? well, that is not part of the question, so I shall leave that be for now. Russia? Russia's economy is slowly becoming to be something that could be called 'in existence'. Russian capitalism almost completely destroyed the industry built up under the SU. The military capablities of Russia are similar to the US in that they are disproportionate to the economic base. However, though russia actually has a decent military, it is not one that could stand up to the US. At the most it would be able to make a decent attempt at eastern europe or the former soviet republics south of it. **** Europe? no country in europe would have a chance against the US as things currently stand, though a Franco-German unified state would be able to at least pretend. Though there is no question of a peaceful unification as the two are historically enemies, if there were a war in which Germany won rather quickly, such a case might arise, though if it were France that won it would be through the use of nukes, so that would end any hopes of having a decent economy. *****Japan? Hah! Japan is in the same situation it was in the '30s, though this time it has no colonial holdings. The situation I mean is this: per unit of population, per unit of territory, it has a bigger economy. The thing is that while its economy may be proportionately larger than the US economy, the US economy is absolutely bigger. That and the JSDF are teh suck. High tech, but suck. ^Right now, the US is in no danger of being attacked by a compotent enemy, its only danger is of being bled white in one foreign theatre after another. ---------- *: This is based on the assumption that the US is not attacked by Russia through Alaska... Which would be stupid for Russia to do. The reasons for that are given briefly in my entry on that country. If that were the case however, Poland would be useful as a staging ground for troops and materiel. his is, of course, assuming that Russia has not nuked the ******** out of north america. Such an act would be necessary for victory against the US, but would most likely bring on nuclear attack by others, notably France and Britain. In other words, it would only be useful if Russia were doubly stupid.**: Read 'lose' as 'get utterly pwned.' That said, things might be changiing. The comming depression seems to be hitting Germany harder than France. Not that it really matters. The comming depression is likely to ******** every advanced country up in a similar way, so it will more likely be a situation where everyone is too ******** to fight, despite any military-technical-economic superiority. Well, unless they decide a war is the best way out of the depression (a good fight will fix any depression, students of economics, history and politics agree for once! yeah, bad pun, but hey.)***: I am absolutely lost on the state of the US internationally and militarily. All my figures were outdated at the time I wrote this, but now, with both a year, and a third Great Depression on the way, I am absolutely lost. I really have to read up on the state of the various international militaries and certain economies soon...****: This was wrong.^^ Russia's economy was not merely 'coming into existence,' but did exist, though with the Georgia thing and the immediate impact of the wall street crash in september, things are looking pretty grim. *****: Not quiet. A lot of people would go to look at the soil glow prettily at night. Nucleo-tourism bucks! razz ^: Japan does have at least one neo-colony. I am not sure if it is Thailand or Maylasia, but in either case, they do... Not quiet what mexico is to the US, or Turkey and the petty east european states are to France and Germany, but hey. Also, the JSDF is not actually that high tech. AFAIK, most intensive developement, but with the constitution, and the US looking over their shoulder wanting a piece of the action, not much IIRC, is actually implemented.^^: I have a habit of equating industrial capacity to economic strength, and while that is the best way to assess the capability of a country to sustain a long, intensive war, it is not the same thing. With the deindustrialisation of the west, the imperialist centres are actually what one could call 'post-industrial.' Living off the fruits of super-exploitation of labour in the semi-colonial world. This provides a vibrant, but extremely unstable economy. With such small amounts of capital (industrial, not investment) available directly, most of the imperialist world can no longer maintain itself for long in the face of a depression. This poses the question of which road the neo-colonies will take: national-liberation>Local (semi? imperialist) power, or national-liberation>workers power. Not something that can be called beforehand.
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Posted: Tue May 12, 2009 1:44 pm
Louis-Auguste Robespierre ...Gracchvs y͎̝̻̦̎͗͆̀ͩͣ̏̾͊ͩ̏͐ͬ́͘ͅo̴͓̥͉̼ͪ̿̏ͧ̑̓̓̑̈́̅̀̏́ͨ̓̀͝͞͝üͭ͌̓̓̏̋͛̎ͧ̔ͧ̒̄͜͏̨̨̱̠̝̦̤̘͇̮̖͘ just find more and more ways to disappoint me͕̝͇̻̱͉ͣͣͮͨͨͩ.
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Posted: Wed May 13, 2009 5:21 pm
Koon The Third Mexican Empire. I lol'd Seriously though. I don't thinnk anyone could really put a hurt on the US unless there was an English, French, German, and Candian alliance angainst the US.
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Posted: Fri May 15, 2009 12:53 pm
Nobody should invade anything. We can't well establish peace if we use violence to get it. We could much more easily end economic control by the rich by destroying economy- The means of control comes with money, and how we all need it- We must work under the rich to get the money we need to survive. If we stop accepting currency as valuable, they lose their control.
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Posted: Thu Jul 09, 2009 8:20 am
At this moment, no one would invade the US. There is no reason to invade it. All one has to do is to act like a mosquito... buzz around, land every once and awhile to take a bite and then the US will become irritated and tired of dealing with you. See any "war" the US has been in in the last half century? After a few years, the people get tired of the leadership and are disillusioned of any effects of good that may come out of the conflict.
A direct conflict with the United States on their soil will of course end in a horrible disaster to the attacking party. No one could even do enough damage to really scare the crap out of them. But if an enemy had a decent enough supplies and the right mindset (terrorist organizations in the Middle East would be a prime example), you can keep a war going on forever. And that is the start of a large crack in the wall to the government of the United States.
Of course, that is only my theory, but I do believe the United States is not a giant that can't be defeated. A dedicated force could do some damage, and few of the states out there in the world would be dedicated to such a difficult task. We probably won't see any movement for a long time by anyone directly against the US.
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Posted: Wed Jul 15, 2009 6:21 am
As far as a threat from a Chinese invasion it would be rather stupid according to the military doctrines of Sun Tzu, who of course was Chinese. "To win without fighting is best." This little bit from Sun Tzu sums it up entirely, China is a 4,000 year old civilization while the US has barely gotten over 200 years. From the opposite side all one has to do is have patience and let the opposition (in this case the US) collapse from within. Certainly consumer debt and even more staggeringly national debts will plague the US for decades if not centuries to come. While there may be currently no military rival of equal conventional power to the US, unconventional guerrilla warfare in many fronts will drain the conventional forces and destabilize the populace. All of this geopolitically is best left untouched by invasion but, rather to allow the country to implode under the weight of its' own problems. So, we can definately say that the U.S. will not be invaded and we can get over the paranoia of that while our internal problems will either have to be solved or the implosion viz. revolution by ballot or bullet will correct the existing problems or amplify them depending on who gains power through such means. If the workers gain power then Socialism will fix the internal mess of under/unemployment, health insurance, gargantuan military budgets, ect. While if we experience a Fascist take over then the problems will be exacerbated especially with military budgets leading to debt levels previously unimaginable. All in all when the USSR called the US decadent it was not an epithet but, rather a statement of the facts. ninja
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Posted: Wed Jul 15, 2009 7:53 am
red_shadow1917 As far as a threat from a Chinese invasion it would be rather stupid according to the military doctrines of Sun Tzu, who of course was Chinese. "To win without fighting is best." This little bit from Sun Tzu sums it up entirely, China is a 4,000 year old civilization while the US has barely gotten over 200 years. From the opposite side all one has to do is have patience and let the opposition (in this case the US) collapse from within. Certainly consumer debt and even more staggeringly national debts will plague the US for decades if not centuries to come. While there may be currently no military rival of equal conventional power to the US, unconventional guerrilla warfare in many fronts will drain the conventional forces and destabilize the populace. All of this geopolitically is best left untouched by invasion but, rather to allow the country to implode under the weight of its' own problems. So, we can definately say that the U.S. will not be invaded and we can get over the paranoia of that while our internal problems will either have to be solved or the implosion viz. revolution by ballot or bullet will correct the existing problems or amplify them depending on who gains power through such means. If the workers gain power then Socialism will fix the internal mess of under/unemployment, health insurance, gargantuan military budgets, ect. While if we experience a Fascist take over then the problems will be exacerbated especially with military budgets leading to debt levels previously unimaginable. All in all when the USSR called the US decadent it was not an epithet but, rather a statement of the facts. ninja So are you saying... That because Clausewitz is German, Germany should follow Vom Krieg? Also, China is not a 4000 year old civilization, or at least there is a massive gap in continuity between hat civilization and the PRC. More correctly, the RoC is heir to that herritage.
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