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Tags: dtaay, zomg, draw the avatar above you 

Reply zOMG! It's DTAAY!! 8D
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O 3o
*Doodles*
100%
 100%  [ 74 ]
Total Votes : 74


Yamiko Enoki
Vice Captain

Fashionable Businesswoman

PostPosted: Thu Jun 11, 2009 5:12 pm


THIS IS RAPE!! ...oh hi Tori. ;D
PostPosted: Thu Jun 11, 2009 5:16 pm


Yamiko Enoki
THIS IS RAPE!! ...oh hi Tori. ;D
....nya? Q~ Q? r-rape? gonk

Kotori

Dapper Citizen


Yamiko Enoki
Vice Captain

Fashionable Businesswoman

PostPosted: Thu Jun 11, 2009 5:24 pm


Kotori
Yamiko Enoki
THIS IS RAPE!! ...oh hi Tori. ;D
....nya? Q~ Q? r-rape? gonk

No no no, shush shush *pet pet* =w= ..........it'd all end quickly. He's a dude after all.
PostPosted: Thu Jun 11, 2009 5:32 pm


Kotori
*pokes iblis* 0 m 0ll

Iblis?
Iblis= Akino? eek burning_eyes

@Faust: I see what you mean. Although I've slightly revised my logic since then. Imagine the following characteristics for the powers of the Bayesian Empirimancer: 'Declared', 'Not declared', 'Successful', and 'Failure'. These can be further organized into the groups. (Declared|Successful), (Declared|Failure), (Not Declared). Not declared becomes a strong evidence against a declared event because, well if you don't say anything, your powers won't do anything. Now in the case of (D|S) and (D|F), With Empirical reasoning each time a case occurs in their respective groups, you get an appropriate shift in probability.

Here is the kicker. Supposing magic was tangible in our world (I'm 100% sure it exists but we are unable to interact with it, call me a Soft Agnostic), the exact power of the Bayesian Empirimancer would be to bring declared events to reality based on the probability of the event declared. This is however limited by needing reasonable priors. If you've failed casting many times in your career, there's no way you can declare a 100% success rate when you use your powers (The exception being if you bring in evidence- fuel, incendiary devices, other flammable crap- to boost your success rate in one particular case). Your priors however, would be entirely influenced by personal experiences.

Wow all of this is alot of talking. This gave me two ideas. What would it be like to have 2 Bayesian Empirimancer's duel and would the nemisis of a Bayesian Empirimancer be a Agnostic Empiricist?


Wait, who's getting raped?

Kei_Reila


J Lone Wolf
Vice Captain

Cursed Hunter

39,400 Points
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 11, 2009 7:04 pm


I heard rape.
PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 5:02 am


Home from work and not one post? You slackers...

J Lone Wolf
Vice Captain

Cursed Hunter

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Tezu
Vice Captain

Enthusiastic Hobo

PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 5:12 am


rp-ing, studying, and preparing myself to deal with potential drama OnO. i personally prefer to be watching it than being right in the center lolol x'D

*raeps j's head* scream scream scream
PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 9:12 am


ninja

-hides under a small rock-

Mimice

4,800 Points
  • Citizen 200
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  • Conversationalist 100

Faustpatrone
Vice Captain

Prophet

PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 11:31 am


Kei_Reila
Kotori
*pokes iblis* 0 m 0ll

Iblis?
Iblis= Akino? eek burning_eyes

@Faust: I see what you mean. Although I've slightly revised my logic since then. Imagine the following characteristics for the powers of the Bayesian Empirimancer: 'Declared', 'Not declared', 'Successful', and 'Failure'. These can be further organized into the groups. (Declared|Successful), (Declared|Failure), (Not Declared). Not declared becomes a strong evidence against a declared event because, well if you don't say anything, your powers won't do anything. Now in the case of (D|S) and (D|F), With Empirical reasoning each time a case occurs in their respective groups, you get an appropriate shift in probability.

Here is the kicker. Supposing magic was tangible in our world (I'm 100% sure it exists but we are unable to interact with it, call me a Soft Agnostic), the exact power of the Bayesian Empirimancer would be to bring declared events to reality based on the probability of the event declared. This is however limited by needing reasonable priors. If you've failed casting many times in your career, there's no way you can declare a 100% success rate when you use your powers (The exception being if you bring in evidence- fuel, incendiary devices, other flammable crap- to boost your success rate in one particular case). Your priors however, would be entirely influenced by personal experiences.

Wow all of this is alot of talking. This gave me two ideas. What would it be like to have 2 Bayesian Empirimancer's duel and would the nemisis of a Bayesian Empirimancer be a Agnostic Empiricist?


Wait, who's getting raped?

Then it wouldn't be bayesian or an empiricist would it?
with magic, the whole priniciple of what makes it empirical gets thrown off....in addition to that the bayes theorem requires full solid proof and evidence in order for it to apply to the probability...
if there was a class called a bayesian empirimancer..that in itself is a paradox ;D

Nope, I think it'd be the idealist xD
PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 11:59 am


-yawns-

"you know i have no idea what Faust and Kei are saying"

Mimice

4,800 Points
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Faustpatrone
Vice Captain

Prophet

PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 12:12 pm


Mimice
-yawns-

"you know i have no idea what Faust and Kei are saying"

xDDDD
-patpat-
don't worry...when you grow up, you'll understandddd 4laugh
PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 12:23 pm


Faustpatrone
Mimice
-yawns-

"you know i have no idea what Faust and Kei are saying"

xDDDD
-patpat-
don't worry...when you grow up, you'll understandddd 4laugh
"yeah that what all adults say, and guess what im older and i still don't understand where babies come from, or why i can't wacth tv late at night, or mommy and daddy need alone time to wrestle" XDD

Mimice

4,800 Points
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Tezu
Vice Captain

Enthusiastic Hobo

PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 1:02 pm


*raeps mimice's chair then punts mimice towards faust*
PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 1:07 pm


Tezu
*raeps mimice's chair then punts mimice towards faust*
-grabs your foot and flips you on your butt- -pokes your face- XP

Mimice

4,800 Points
  • Citizen 200
  • Hygienic 200
  • Conversationalist 100

Tezu
Vice Captain

Enthusiastic Hobo

PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 1:22 pm


*explodes* XAx
Reply
zOMG! It's DTAAY!! 8D

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