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Hobo Scruffy
Crew

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 7:51 pm


l-Kathulu-l
Hobo Scruffy
Arguments and lols aside, we must ask ourselves; WHY ISN'T HE DEFENDING HIMSELF?

Med, get in here and say something!!
He hasn't signed in since 3 something. Besides that he just may be busy, but hopefully he will sign in and check the events before the day is over

Oops, i thought he had been on for most of this time and just wasn't posting. sweatdrop
PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 7:53 pm


I read through Medeus' posts, and I still don't see what everyone finds suspicious about his game-related posts. If anything, he seems more helpful than usual which to me makes me believe he's town this time.


Wantcookie
WylrPnufh
I just wanted SOMETHING to happen on day 1.
This strikes me as odd. Yes, they might kill off two people. But if we act now without any substantial information, we'd most likely be adding to our losses. This would be fine if it wasn't compounded by his actions before, even prematurely voting Med to be lynched. It almost sounds like he wants to kill off someone just to be rid of one more player, whether it be townie or opposite mafia.
I'm leaning towards Cookie with this thought. I'm for no-lynch tonight because I'm afraid we're going to kill off one of our own on accident which could mean 4 townies dead tomorrow. I say we wait and hope the mafias/TB hit each other, rather than lynching someone with no concrete evidence.

The odds that we'll lynch a baddie is probably 40% or maybe 50%.
The odds that 1 mafia faction will hit the other faction or neutrals is probably 30% or maybe 38%.
The odds that TB will hit a mafioso is probably 37% or maybe 47%.
(probably = 12 townies/8 baddies, maybe = 10 townies/10 baddies)

Did that make sense, and are my numbers correct? sweatdrop

badtzmaru

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badtzmaru

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 7:57 pm


Hrm... I guess my calculations say that the town's lynch has a better chance of catching mafia... @_@a

But!! The point is, we have a 60% chance of lynching a townie. sweatdrop
PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:00 pm


*Obligatory "I'm active" post*

Looks like not much Finger of shaming going on yet...

dragn99

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Allegro

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:01 pm


One hour. Get your Roles in.
PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:09 pm


Hobo Scruffy
Zephyrkitty
Finished reading through the thread.

Most of Med's posts struck me as being similar to his and Cookie's interactions in the Spam Can. I really don't know how to feel about him.

Why is everyone so suspicious of the post he made specifically towards Cookie? Those are normal homoerotic posts. Am I the only one suspicious of his game related posts? Med normally seems a little post-happy and 'one step behind', but he's really playing up the ignorance card in here and I'm not buying it. Everyone, do yourselves a favor; stop thinking about Cookies p***s and take a look all the GAME RELATED posts. We're not going to find scum by examining joke posts. That goes for everyone's posts, not just Med's.

Probably because Wylr FoSed Med on page 11. Go back a page to find the reason why, and you get him and Cookie.

But even looking at his serious posts I'm not seeing much. He's asked about several things that are common knowledge for most of us, but he's also a newer player. I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt for now.

Zephyrkitty
Crew

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l-Kathulu-l
Crew

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:12 pm


Well from what I know the votes stand at

Medeus - 1
Night - 2

So it isn't close to a majority, so I doubt anything will go on unless some serious bandwagoning goes on
PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:15 pm


dragn99
Looks like not much Finger of shaming going on yet...
Medeus is being FOSed right now. What do you think of him? ninja

badtzmaru

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SoThatAznGirl

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:16 pm


badtzmaru
Did that make sense, and are my numbers correct? sweatdrop

With a player ratio of town:mafia:mafia:neutral being 12:3:3:2, the only corrections I'd make are...

- 17.5% [3/17] chance a mafia group will hit a rival mafia member, but 70% [12/17] chance they'll get town.
- 31.5% [6/19] chance TB will hit mafia, and 63% [12/19] on town.
PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:17 pm


We are suspending the deadline until tomorrow night. We will be back with you tomorrow.

Until then, this thread is on hiatus.


Actually game over Mods win.

Owwin
Crew


SoThatAznGirl

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:19 pm


By which I interpret, if the both mafias, TB, and even the vigilante have a go tonight, most likely 2 townies will be hit, at least.
PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:20 pm


Whaaaat. eek dang you u_u

And oh, you didn't include the 2 neutral roles, Stag?

badtzmaru

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SoThatAznGirl

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:20 pm


.........................What?
PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:21 pm


Wait, no. What I mean is. Allegro is the SK.

Owwin
Crew


l-Kathulu-l
Crew

Versatile Man-Lover

PostPosted: Thu Dec 02, 2010 8:21 pm


I choose not to vote for tonight. Not enough evidence, and we can act more on how the day turns out tomorrow. So for now, good night.
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