Eteponge
(?)Community Member
- Report Post
- Posted: Thu, 11 Jan 2007 07:49:15 +0000
Well, it's obvious to me now more than ever that no series of strong cases of Veridical NDEs/OBEs, no matter how well documented or solid they may seem, are ever free of accusations (whether provable or not) of conscious fraud or subconsciously picking-up-on-things beforehand, no matter how solid or well conceived they may seem. Just like how a determined lawyer can make a strong witness doubt their own testimony and memory (even if it's true), a hardened skeptic can do the same with practically any paranormal case, regardless of what the actual truth may be regarding it.
Let me see if I can bring myself to your level of thinking, and present to you what *I* would say to a believer if indeed I were a Hardend Skeptic, tell me if I do a good job by the way...
Veridical Perception during NDEs/OBE? The answer is, they could have, in all of the numerous well documented cases of NDErs/OBErs out there who obtained Veridical Perception during their experiences, no matter how unlikely given the specific circumstances and situations, no matter of their reputations and sincerity, they all could have obtained the information beforehand either through conscious fraud or subconsiously picking-up-on-things, and just made some very lucky guesses, and their physiological induced "OBEs" coincidentely were fairly accurate, but that's all it was, a coincidence, an anamoly. The experiencer, and the doctors, nurses, paramedics, family, friends, etc, who corroborated the story all could have been remembering the details wrong, making them appear to be more accurate than they truely were. Veridical Evidence where the experiencer met deceased relatives they did not know was dead or had never met before or were never told about? More of the same.
You see? There's nothing there that cannot be explained away, even if I cannot prove it actually happened that way! See? I could play the role of close-minded prosecutioner rather than open-minded investigator if I wanted to. A seasoned prosecuter can make any case look bad, it's a mere game.
Now, can any of this actually be proven to have happened in every single case? Nope. Can any of this actually be disproven to have happened in every single case? Nope. And depending upon the debating skills of the believer or skeptic, they can each cast doubt on each other's side being the more unlikely outcome, regardless of whatever the truth of the matter is. So really, the whole thing is moot.
I agree with the late Marcello Truzzi, founding co-chairman of Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal, a founder of the Society for Scientific Exploration, and director for the Center for Scientific Anomalies Research, who is credited with originating the oft-used phrase "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof," which Carl Sagan then popularized as "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence", when he said...
"Showing evidence is unconvincing is not grounds for completely dismissing it. If a critic asserts that the result was due to artifact X, that critic then has the burden of proof to demonstrate that artifact X can and probably did produce such results under such circumstances. Admittedly, in some cases the appeal to mere plausibility that an artifact produced the result may be so great that nearly all would accept the argument; for example, when we learn that someone known to have cheated in the past had an opportunity to cheat in this instance, we might reasonably conclude he probably cheated this time, too. But in far too many instances, the critic who makes a merely plausible argument for an artifact closes the door on future research when proper science demands that his hypothesis of an artifact should also be tested. Alas, most critics seem happy to sit in their armchairs producing post hoc counter-explanations. Whichever side ends up with the true story, science best progresses through laboratory investigations." - Macello Truzzi
Also, as for saying my critique of Augustine's Article was inadaquetely, I noticed you only mentioned the part where I talked about his "silly nitpicking and unsupported assumptions", and glossed over the following points I pointed out that are indeed good critiques of his work...
Those are very good critiques because these are things Augustine wouldn't touch, but they were there in the cases, and he wouldn't directly deal with them adaquetely.
As for the whole Occam's Razor thing, despite my failure to convey what I was trying to get across regarding it, my pal Winston Wu did an excellent article where he tackled the subject indepth...
Also, since your argument seems to have shifted to the whole "All that we have to support paranormal claims is anecdotal evidence, which is unreliable and invalid evidence" and "Memory is malleable and unreliable, people can remember a highly edited version of what occurred, making anecdotal evidence unreliable, therefore, memory is invalid evidence for any paranormal experiences" arguments, I'll post excerpts from Winston Wu's Article tackling these very accusations...
I know none of this will convince you, I'm merely posting this for others who may find it useful.
Let me see if I can bring myself to your level of thinking, and present to you what *I* would say to a believer if indeed I were a Hardend Skeptic, tell me if I do a good job by the way...
Veridical Perception during NDEs/OBE? The answer is, they could have, in all of the numerous well documented cases of NDErs/OBErs out there who obtained Veridical Perception during their experiences, no matter how unlikely given the specific circumstances and situations, no matter of their reputations and sincerity, they all could have obtained the information beforehand either through conscious fraud or subconsiously picking-up-on-things, and just made some very lucky guesses, and their physiological induced "OBEs" coincidentely were fairly accurate, but that's all it was, a coincidence, an anamoly. The experiencer, and the doctors, nurses, paramedics, family, friends, etc, who corroborated the story all could have been remembering the details wrong, making them appear to be more accurate than they truely were. Veridical Evidence where the experiencer met deceased relatives they did not know was dead or had never met before or were never told about? More of the same.
You see? There's nothing there that cannot be explained away, even if I cannot prove it actually happened that way! See? I could play the role of close-minded prosecutioner rather than open-minded investigator if I wanted to. A seasoned prosecuter can make any case look bad, it's a mere game.
Now, can any of this actually be proven to have happened in every single case? Nope. Can any of this actually be disproven to have happened in every single case? Nope. And depending upon the debating skills of the believer or skeptic, they can each cast doubt on each other's side being the more unlikely outcome, regardless of whatever the truth of the matter is. So really, the whole thing is moot.
I agree with the late Marcello Truzzi, founding co-chairman of Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal, a founder of the Society for Scientific Exploration, and director for the Center for Scientific Anomalies Research, who is credited with originating the oft-used phrase "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof," which Carl Sagan then popularized as "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence", when he said...
"Showing evidence is unconvincing is not grounds for completely dismissing it. If a critic asserts that the result was due to artifact X, that critic then has the burden of proof to demonstrate that artifact X can and probably did produce such results under such circumstances. Admittedly, in some cases the appeal to mere plausibility that an artifact produced the result may be so great that nearly all would accept the argument; for example, when we learn that someone known to have cheated in the past had an opportunity to cheat in this instance, we might reasonably conclude he probably cheated this time, too. But in far too many instances, the critic who makes a merely plausible argument for an artifact closes the door on future research when proper science demands that his hypothesis of an artifact should also be tested. Alas, most critics seem happy to sit in their armchairs producing post hoc counter-explanations. Whichever side ends up with the true story, science best progresses through laboratory investigations." - Macello Truzzi
Also, as for saying my critique of Augustine's Article was inadaquetely, I noticed you only mentioned the part where I talked about his "silly nitpicking and unsupported assumptions", and glossed over the following points I pointed out that are indeed good critiques of his work...
Eteponge
The problem with these arguments, is that it never deals with Numerous Veridical Perceptions where the people wander *outside* of the operating room and overhear conversations and see what people are doing outside of that room that turn out to be accurate! Some observe things happening miles away! Or even the DBV cases where NDErs appeared to loved ones far away at the time of clinical death.
Not to mention very accurate visual descriptions that take place in the operating room such as what the surgeons they have never met looked like, the unusual proceedors used, and like the NDE guy who saw the color tie someone was wearing, and how one NDEr had visually seen a surgeon flapping his arms in a weird manner that happened to be a personal habit of his, etc, etc, etc. He never deals with specific unexplainable stuff like that, and the few times he does, it's purely speculative "coulda, woulda, shouldas" masqueraded around as undeniable fact.
It also doesn't bother to explain how Pam Reynolds accurately described the instruments she had never seen before being used on her, nor about how she saw and met a dead relative that she didn't know at the time was dead! He never deals with stuff like that. Uses a lot of fancy talk, but ignores the death blow evidences like that.
There is also the study of the doctor who got numerous NDErs with no prior medical knowledge who had an NDE and had them describe their own resusitation while out of body, and numerous people who did not have an NDE with no prior medical knowledge and have them do the same, and the NDErs were all accurate and the non-NDErs were not!
Pam Reynolds Case:
* Augustines cleverly IGNORES the fact that Pam Reynolds' Veridical NDE CONTINUED into clinical death and beyond until she was resucitated. He tries to cleverly side-step this fact that the Veridical NDE CONTINUED after that point.
* Augustine cleverly omits that Pam Reynolds accurately visually saw the instruments being used on her from above, and that the instruments used were very unique and wild looking, not something you would normally imagine a "bone saw", etc, to look like. The surgeons in an interview I saw (The BBC Documentary) clearly stated that the instruments were kept hidden and covered up until the actual operation took place, and that Pam had blinders on her eyes during the operation. In addition, one NDE Researcher tried and tried to find a picture of this instrument to verify what Pam saw, and he eventually had to send off for a picture of one because it was so hard to find information on it.
As Michael Prescott pointed out...
"Augustine argues that Reynolds, not fully sedated, overheard enough of the conversation around her to form a mental picture of the procedures that were being followed. But this hardly explains how she was able to describe the appearance of surgical instruments used on her, some of which were quite unusual. Augustine says that some NDErs may pick up this information from TV medical dramas - apparently unaware that "control groups" of TV watchers, when asked to imagine how an operation would look, never display the accuracy of NDErs.
His main source for the Reynolds critique is an article by G.M. Woerlee. Ian Lawton responds to Woerlee, observing,
However, most crucially of all - and maintaining their typical selectiveness - none of [the skeptics] has even tried to explain how [Pam Reynolds] was able to “see” the saw used to open up her skull. Remember that this had an unusual design that a non-expert could not be expected to guess at, and that Pam also described its accompanying “interchangeable blades” in a “socket-wrench case”. Remember too that her eyes were firmly closed, lubricated and taped shut throughout the operation, and that the saw was being used on the top of her head, which would in any case have been out of range of her normal eyesight.
Lawton also cites a psychiatrist, whose contribution is too lengthy to be quoted. Read it for yourself.*"
* Pam Reynolds also met a deceased cousin during her NDE that she did not know at the time was deceased, but found out later that he was.
Augustine made no attempt to adaquetely explain these.
Blind NDEs:
* Kenneth Ring's book on the otherhand, showcases many startling examples of Blind NDErs seeing things they couldn't have possibly known, seen or otherwise. Augustine's article cleverly attempts to pick apart a specific case, but he cleverly ignores more evidential corroborative cases that wouldn't fit into the mold in which he was arguing.
Regardless, he argues that one case was color-blind, rather than being amazed that someone who was born blind could see at all.
As Darby pointed out...
"He entirely and completely ignores the most impressive case in the book where a woman goes blind and then reports seeing her husband and ex-husband standing at the end of a corridor in the emergency room. It as well is anecdotal, but it is certainly stronger than the 'corroborative case' that he attacks."
Not to mention very accurate visual descriptions that take place in the operating room such as what the surgeons they have never met looked like, the unusual proceedors used, and like the NDE guy who saw the color tie someone was wearing, and how one NDEr had visually seen a surgeon flapping his arms in a weird manner that happened to be a personal habit of his, etc, etc, etc. He never deals with specific unexplainable stuff like that, and the few times he does, it's purely speculative "coulda, woulda, shouldas" masqueraded around as undeniable fact.
It also doesn't bother to explain how Pam Reynolds accurately described the instruments she had never seen before being used on her, nor about how she saw and met a dead relative that she didn't know at the time was dead! He never deals with stuff like that. Uses a lot of fancy talk, but ignores the death blow evidences like that.
There is also the study of the doctor who got numerous NDErs with no prior medical knowledge who had an NDE and had them describe their own resusitation while out of body, and numerous people who did not have an NDE with no prior medical knowledge and have them do the same, and the NDErs were all accurate and the non-NDErs were not!
Pam Reynolds Case:
* Augustines cleverly IGNORES the fact that Pam Reynolds' Veridical NDE CONTINUED into clinical death and beyond until she was resucitated. He tries to cleverly side-step this fact that the Veridical NDE CONTINUED after that point.
* Augustine cleverly omits that Pam Reynolds accurately visually saw the instruments being used on her from above, and that the instruments used were very unique and wild looking, not something you would normally imagine a "bone saw", etc, to look like. The surgeons in an interview I saw (The BBC Documentary) clearly stated that the instruments were kept hidden and covered up until the actual operation took place, and that Pam had blinders on her eyes during the operation. In addition, one NDE Researcher tried and tried to find a picture of this instrument to verify what Pam saw, and he eventually had to send off for a picture of one because it was so hard to find information on it.
As Michael Prescott pointed out...
"Augustine argues that Reynolds, not fully sedated, overheard enough of the conversation around her to form a mental picture of the procedures that were being followed. But this hardly explains how she was able to describe the appearance of surgical instruments used on her, some of which were quite unusual. Augustine says that some NDErs may pick up this information from TV medical dramas - apparently unaware that "control groups" of TV watchers, when asked to imagine how an operation would look, never display the accuracy of NDErs.
His main source for the Reynolds critique is an article by G.M. Woerlee. Ian Lawton responds to Woerlee, observing,
However, most crucially of all - and maintaining their typical selectiveness - none of [the skeptics] has even tried to explain how [Pam Reynolds] was able to “see” the saw used to open up her skull. Remember that this had an unusual design that a non-expert could not be expected to guess at, and that Pam also described its accompanying “interchangeable blades” in a “socket-wrench case”. Remember too that her eyes were firmly closed, lubricated and taped shut throughout the operation, and that the saw was being used on the top of her head, which would in any case have been out of range of her normal eyesight.
Lawton also cites a psychiatrist, whose contribution is too lengthy to be quoted. Read it for yourself.*"
* Pam Reynolds also met a deceased cousin during her NDE that she did not know at the time was deceased, but found out later that he was.
Augustine made no attempt to adaquetely explain these.
Blind NDEs:
* Kenneth Ring's book on the otherhand, showcases many startling examples of Blind NDErs seeing things they couldn't have possibly known, seen or otherwise. Augustine's article cleverly attempts to pick apart a specific case, but he cleverly ignores more evidential corroborative cases that wouldn't fit into the mold in which he was arguing.
Regardless, he argues that one case was color-blind, rather than being amazed that someone who was born blind could see at all.
As Darby pointed out...
"He entirely and completely ignores the most impressive case in the book where a woman goes blind and then reports seeing her husband and ex-husband standing at the end of a corridor in the emergency room. It as well is anecdotal, but it is certainly stronger than the 'corroborative case' that he attacks."
Those are very good critiques because these are things Augustine wouldn't touch, but they were there in the cases, and he wouldn't directly deal with them adaquetely.
As for the whole Occam's Razor thing, despite my failure to convey what I was trying to get across regarding it, my pal Winston Wu did an excellent article where he tackled the subject indepth...
Quote:
http://www.geocities.com/wwu777us/Debunking_Skeptical_Arguments.htm
Argument # 3: The Occam’s Razor rule
Stated as: “When there are two competing explanations for an event, the simpler one is more likely.”
This argument is a principle that skeptics often misuse to try to force alternate explanations to paranormal ones, even if those explanations involve false accusations or do not fit the facts. Originally, it began as a principle in physics having to do with parsimony, but somehow got twisted into a mantra for invalidating paranormal claims. It was popularized by scientist Carl Sagan in his novel turned movie “Contact”, where Jodie Foster quotes it while during a conversation with a theist to defend her belief that God doesn’t exist. (Ironically, at the end of the movie it is used against her in a public interrogation by a National Security Agent.) However, an analysis on the facts and assumptions of this argument reveals some obvious problems.
1) First of all, Occam’s Razor, termed by 14th Century logician and friar William of Occam, refers to a concept that states that "Entities should not be multiplied unnecessarily." It was not intended to be used to evaluate claims of the paranormal as skeptics today use it for. As Phil Gibbs points out in “Physics FAQ”: (http://www.weburbia.com/physics/)
“To begin with we used Occam's razor to separate theories which would predict the same result for all experiments. Now we are trying to choose between theories which make different predictions. This is not what Occam intended……..
The principle of simplicity works as a heuristic rule-of-thumb but some people quote it as if it is an axiom of physics. It is not. It can work well in philosophy or particle physics, but less often so in cosmology or psychology, where things usually turn out to be more complicated than you ever expected. Perhaps a quote from Shakespeare would be more appropriate than Occam's razor: "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, Than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
The law of parsimony is no substitute for insight, logic and the scientific method. It should never be relied upon to make or defend a conclusion. As arbiters of correctness only logical consistency and empirical evidence are absolute.”
Even Isaac Newton didn’t use Occam’s Razor like the skeptics of today do. His version of it was
“We are to admit no more causes of natural things than such as are both true and sufficient to explain their appearances.” (see same Physics FAQ)
Obviously, he was referring to explanations to explain natural phenomena, not paranormal or supernatural phenomena!
2) Second, what is “simpler” is often relative. As Phil Gibbs points out in the same Physics FAQ:
“Simplicity is subjective and the universe does not always have the same ideas about simplicity as we do.”
3) Third, even if we take Occam’s Razor at face value the way skeptics use it, just because one explanation is more likely doesn’t mean that it’s always the correct one. For example, if I toss a die, it is more likely that I will roll numbers 1-5 than a 6. But that doesn’t mean that a 6 will never come up. Therefore, occasionally an unlikely explanation can be expected to be true sometimes. However, skeptics treat Occam’s Razor as if it were an absolute rule and use it as a label for denying any paranormal claim, no matter how valid.
4) Fourth, skeptics have used Occam’s Razor so religiously that they misuse it by inventing false accusations and denying the facts in order to force a simpler more natural explanation. For example, if someone had an amazing psychic reading at a psychic fair (not prearranged) where they were told something very specific that couldn’t have been guessed by cold reading, skeptics would start inventing false accusations such as: “Someone who knew you must have tipped off the psychic in advance”, “A spy in the room must have overheard you mention the specific detail before the reading”, “You must have something in your appearance that reveals the detail”, “You must have remembered it wrong since memory is fallible”, etc. Even if none of these accusations are true, skeptics will still insist on it simply because it’s the simpler explanation to them. Likewise, if someone during an NDE or OBE hears a conversation or witnesses something many miles away and later upon verification, it turns out to be true, the skeptics will say that the simpler explanation is that the patient knew about the detail or conversation beforehand but forgot it. A skeptic did that to me once when I brought up how a psychic was able to tell me that I had a tragic period in my life when I was 9 years old, without any other information or clue from me other than my birth date. He kept insisting that I gave her clues which allowed her to predict that, even though I guaranteed him that I didn’t. Examples like these suggest that skeptics are willing to support a false explanation rather than a paranormal one due to their bias.
Argument # 3: The Occam’s Razor rule
Stated as: “When there are two competing explanations for an event, the simpler one is more likely.”
This argument is a principle that skeptics often misuse to try to force alternate explanations to paranormal ones, even if those explanations involve false accusations or do not fit the facts. Originally, it began as a principle in physics having to do with parsimony, but somehow got twisted into a mantra for invalidating paranormal claims. It was popularized by scientist Carl Sagan in his novel turned movie “Contact”, where Jodie Foster quotes it while during a conversation with a theist to defend her belief that God doesn’t exist. (Ironically, at the end of the movie it is used against her in a public interrogation by a National Security Agent.) However, an analysis on the facts and assumptions of this argument reveals some obvious problems.
1) First of all, Occam’s Razor, termed by 14th Century logician and friar William of Occam, refers to a concept that states that "Entities should not be multiplied unnecessarily." It was not intended to be used to evaluate claims of the paranormal as skeptics today use it for. As Phil Gibbs points out in “Physics FAQ”: (http://www.weburbia.com/physics/)
“To begin with we used Occam's razor to separate theories which would predict the same result for all experiments. Now we are trying to choose between theories which make different predictions. This is not what Occam intended……..
The principle of simplicity works as a heuristic rule-of-thumb but some people quote it as if it is an axiom of physics. It is not. It can work well in philosophy or particle physics, but less often so in cosmology or psychology, where things usually turn out to be more complicated than you ever expected. Perhaps a quote from Shakespeare would be more appropriate than Occam's razor: "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, Than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
The law of parsimony is no substitute for insight, logic and the scientific method. It should never be relied upon to make or defend a conclusion. As arbiters of correctness only logical consistency and empirical evidence are absolute.”
Even Isaac Newton didn’t use Occam’s Razor like the skeptics of today do. His version of it was
“We are to admit no more causes of natural things than such as are both true and sufficient to explain their appearances.” (see same Physics FAQ)
Obviously, he was referring to explanations to explain natural phenomena, not paranormal or supernatural phenomena!
2) Second, what is “simpler” is often relative. As Phil Gibbs points out in the same Physics FAQ:
“Simplicity is subjective and the universe does not always have the same ideas about simplicity as we do.”
3) Third, even if we take Occam’s Razor at face value the way skeptics use it, just because one explanation is more likely doesn’t mean that it’s always the correct one. For example, if I toss a die, it is more likely that I will roll numbers 1-5 than a 6. But that doesn’t mean that a 6 will never come up. Therefore, occasionally an unlikely explanation can be expected to be true sometimes. However, skeptics treat Occam’s Razor as if it were an absolute rule and use it as a label for denying any paranormal claim, no matter how valid.
4) Fourth, skeptics have used Occam’s Razor so religiously that they misuse it by inventing false accusations and denying the facts in order to force a simpler more natural explanation. For example, if someone had an amazing psychic reading at a psychic fair (not prearranged) where they were told something very specific that couldn’t have been guessed by cold reading, skeptics would start inventing false accusations such as: “Someone who knew you must have tipped off the psychic in advance”, “A spy in the room must have overheard you mention the specific detail before the reading”, “You must have something in your appearance that reveals the detail”, “You must have remembered it wrong since memory is fallible”, etc. Even if none of these accusations are true, skeptics will still insist on it simply because it’s the simpler explanation to them. Likewise, if someone during an NDE or OBE hears a conversation or witnesses something many miles away and later upon verification, it turns out to be true, the skeptics will say that the simpler explanation is that the patient knew about the detail or conversation beforehand but forgot it. A skeptic did that to me once when I brought up how a psychic was able to tell me that I had a tragic period in my life when I was 9 years old, without any other information or clue from me other than my birth date. He kept insisting that I gave her clues which allowed her to predict that, even though I guaranteed him that I didn’t. Examples like these suggest that skeptics are willing to support a false explanation rather than a paranormal one due to their bias.
Also, since your argument seems to have shifted to the whole "All that we have to support paranormal claims is anecdotal evidence, which is unreliable and invalid evidence" and "Memory is malleable and unreliable, people can remember a highly edited version of what occurred, making anecdotal evidence unreliable, therefore, memory is invalid evidence for any paranormal experiences" arguments, I'll post excerpts from Winston Wu's Article tackling these very accusations...
Quote:
http://www.geocities.com/wwu777us/Debunking_Skeptical_Arguments.htm
Argument # 5: The “anecdotal evidence is invalid” argument.
Stated as: “All that we have to support paranormal claims is anecdotal evidence, which is unreliable and invalid evidence.”
Corollary: “Anecdotal evidence is worthless as scientific evidence.”
The “anecdotal evidence is invalid” argument is perhaps the one most often used by skeptics, and also the core philosophical difference between believers and skeptics. In fact, this issue is often the impasse point that the debates between believers and skeptics reach. The term “anecdote” technically refers to an unpublished story or personal testimony. But in this case, it refers to any eyewitness account or claim of a paranormal nature without hard evidence to corroborate it.
This classification is one of the main categories that skeptics put paranormal evidence into in order to dismiss it. (Another category being the “unreplicable / uncontrolled” group that scientific experiments supporting psi are often put into. See Arguments # 17, 1 cool Skeptics who use this argument often claim that the evidence we have for paranormal claims is largely anecdotal and therefore worthless as scientific evidence. They also claim that anecdotal evidence is invalid because it is largely untestable and subject to error. Some skeptics will even go so far as to say that anecdotal evidence is zero evidence. Not surprisingly though, skeptics tend to quote anecdotal evidence when it supports their side! (another double standard) Therefore it appears that classifying evidence as “anecdotal” is simply a dimissal tactic to try to discredit evidence that skeptics can’t explain away.
There are many factual and critical problems with this tactic.
1) While it may be true that most of the paranormal evidence is largely anecdotal in nature, by no means is it true that they are worthless or invalid. The fact is that most anecdotes, personal accounts, and what we remember check out most of the time or at least point to something real. Rarely is it ever based on nothing at all. For example, if someone told me that there was a man dressed in a Santa Claus suit at the local mall taking photos with kids, the odds are that if I went to the mall to verify it, it would check out most of the time (and if the Santa dressed man isn’t there at the time, he was there earlier at least). Or, if I went to the supermarket and asked the staff what aisle number the bread was at, most of the time the aisle he would tell me would be the one that has bread. Likewise, if I was inside a building and someone came in and said it was raining outside, most of the time it would check out. Either it would be raining now, or the wet floor would show that it was raining earlier. Similarly, when someone tells me what the ending is of a movie or book, it usually always checks out when I watch the movie or read the book. It’s that simple! There are countless examples like this that I could use, most of which are very mundane. Obviously, these types of simple ordinary everyday anecdotes point to something real. Now, since the skeptical philosophy about anecdotes doesn’t hold up when applied to simple mundane examples, why should it be used to evaluate paranormal experiences and claims? It makes no sense at all.
One argument I use that always gets these skeptics goes like this. I ask them about a country they’ve never been to before, such as France for example. And I state it like this: “Since you’ve never been to France before, and you have no real evidence that it exists other than anecdotes you heard, do you assume then that it doesn’t exist for now? After all, the photos, videos, and souvenirs from that country could all be forgeries, you just don’t know do you?” The skeptic will usually reply with “But I can fly to France and verify that it exists.” And that answer totally misses the point, so I then counter with the key question “Yeah but UNTIL you go to France, do you assume for NOW that it doesn’t exist, based on your skeptical philosophy that anecdotal evidence is invalid?” That stumps them EVERYTIME! They NEVER have a response to that one.
Suffice to say, if these skeptics truly believed that anecdotal evidence in general is invalid, then they could not function in life, for they would not believe anything told. They would refuse directions when they are lost, they would disbelieve every story told to them during their family reunions (even by the most honest and credible of their family members), invalidate all reports given to them in their workplace, etc. They know it too, and most likely do not live that way. Therefore, as mentioned before, this is all just a word game play to them, not about seeking the truth.
2) Anecdotal is not considered zero evidence or worthless by our society. Anyone with common sense who isn’t detached from society knows this. Courts consider eyewitness testimony as admissible evidence (though not proof). Employers consider reference letters, character references of friends and former employers, and background checks to be evidence of a job candidate’s performance. Marketing people conduct surveys to get important useful information about the market. A degree of anecdotal evidence is relied upon in everyday society. Obviously, if anecdotal evidence was of zero value, it wouldn’t be like this. But it is, so this demonstrates that these philosophical skeptics are all about playing a closed-minded philosophical word/labeling game, rather than being realistic about anything. Yet when confronted with reality, they continue to just throw labels and semantics out at them, until those who know better simply ignore them. It’s obvious that they either lack the most basic common sense, are in denial, or playing a deliberate game of philosophy.
Factors measuring degree of reliability in anecdotal evidence
3) What these pseudo-skeptics don’t realize is that not only is anecdotal evidence mostly reliable with regard to everyday things, but its degree of validity is can be measured based on several factors.
a) The number of eyewitnesses, testimonials and claims.
b) The consistency of the observations and claims.
c) The credibility of the witnesses.
d) The clarity of and proximity of the observation.
e) The state of mind of the witnesses.
Here is an elaboration on these variables that determine the degree of reliability of anecdotal evidence, and how they have been more than adequately met for many paranormal phenomena.
a) The number of eyewitnesses, testimonials and claims. The more eyewitnesses, testimonies, and claims there are, the greater the weight of evidence. Anyone knows that, and almost everyone operates that way, except pseudo-skeptics of course. Now, if there was only one claim in the world of a psychic experience, that wouldn’t be much. But if a considerable number of people told me the same thing including people I know and trust, then I might think that there could be something to it. And if has to do with a sizable proportion of the world population throughout history, then that’s incredibly significant. To put it simply, something is MORE likely to be true the more people attest to it. It’s not an absolute rule of course, just a general tendency overall. In the case of psychic experiences, surveys show that two-thirds of Americans claim to have had them, which is a significant number ranging over two hundred million in this country alone, not counting the rest of the world! Even the skeptical organization CSICOP admits this stat in articles on their website such as http://www.csicop.org/si/2001-11/alternative.html and http://www.csicop.org/list/listarchive/msg00047.html
b) The consistency in the observations and claims of witnesses. The consistency in the reports we get is also a significant factor that people consider. People trust consistency because it makes lying or mistake much less likely. Of course, consistency in observations and experiences does not mean that what was perceived was really what occurred, but it helps rule out fraud for the most part and points us in the right direction. This criteria is also met for some paranormal phenomena. In multiple witness sightings of ghosts and UFO’s for instance, there are accounts of several or more people witnessing the same thing and describing the same details. Even more striking is consistency among people who don’t know each other nor live near one another. For example, in the case of NDE’s, we have great consistency among experiencers in the form of seeing their body below them, moving through a tunnel, going to a great light of love that some call God, going through a life review, returning with permanent life changes, etc.
c) The credibility of the witnesses. The credibility of those making the reports and claims is also relevant. Factors that influence credibility include integrity, character, whether they’ve been known to lie before, education and expertise, mental stability, how well we know them personally (obviously you would place more value in the claim of someone you know and trust as opposed to a stranger), etc. We definitely have anecdotal evidence from this group for various paranormal/psychic phenomena. That is indisputable. Doctors and scientists of esteemed reputations have attested to miracles or paranormal phenomena. Trained radar personnel and Air Force observers have observed UFO’s both on radar and in the sky. Accomplished quantum physicists have found quantum evidence that make psychic phenomena more plausible, such as the discovery that particles behave differently when observed as opposed to unobserved, the nonlocality and connectedness of twin particles that are split, etc. (see Fred Alan Wolfe’s Taking the Quantum Leap and Michael Talbot’s The Holographic Universe) Prominent Psychiatrists such as Dr. Brian Weiss, author of Many Lives, Many Masters, have discovered and documented clinical evidence that past life memories are real and can be verified. Besides experts, people that we know and trust also claim to experience or observed things of a paranormal nature. Note that I’m not saying that an appeal to authority means that it’s right, only that it carries more weight as a general rule.
d) The proximity and clarity of the observation. How close and clear an observation or experience takes place also an important factor. If someone thinks they see Bigfoot as a speck in the distance, then it could be dismissed as almost anything. However, if they saw Bigfoot at close-up point-blank-range, then it would be much more compelling and harder to dismiss. For the person to be mistaken at point-blank-range, he/she would have to be either lying or greatly hallucinating and in need of help. Otherwise, the skeptics should do some serious thinking about their beliefs! Again, this criteria has been met for some paranormal phenomena such as Bigfoot, UFO’s and apparitions, which have been reportedly seen at point-blank-range in crystal clarity. Any research into will reveal lists of testimonials of this close-up nature.
e) The state of mind of the witness at the time. Another variable is the mental state of the witness, which include factors such as their alertness level, fatigue level, intoxication level, emotional level, fear and panic level, etc. This criteria has also been satisfied for paranormal/psychic phenomena because many of the witnesses were sober, awake and sane at the time of their observations and experiences.
f) What the witnesses/experiencers stand to gain from their testimony or claim. Whether the witnesses profit in any way is also a factor to consider, since it would put doubt on their sincerity if they have ulterior motives which might skew their objectivity. On the other hand, if they have nothing to gain then they are less likely to be manipulating us unless it was out of their genuine belief. This is especially so if they’ve suffered ridicule and damage to their reputation for their claims. The latter has been true for both paranormal experiencers as well as those who made new discoveries that validated paranormal phenomena. Esteemed scientists and experts in their fields have risked their reputations to share their discoveries. These include physicist David Bohm (a protйgй of Einstein and author of Wholeness and the Implicate Order) who postulated consciousness related quantum physics theories that contradicted the reductionist views of the universe, Miami Chair of Psychiatry Dr. Brian Weiss (author of Many Lives, Many Masters) who endured ridicule and criticism from his peers for his clinical reports and discoveries in past life regression, and others.
Now of course not all of the evidence for every paranormal and psychic phenomena have met all these criteria, but many of them have met some or all of them. Therefore we can conclude that the evidence for them is overwhelmingly strong, and certainly not zero evidence like pseudo-skeptics claim.
Ordinarily, anecdotal evidence this strong is accepted as valid evidence in most circumstances, so why not in regard to paranormal or psychic phenomena, especially when it’s so common? The reason is because skeptics and certain scientists don’t think these things are possible, therefore they assume that the fallibility of anecdotes must be the cause. In my experience with skeptics though, no matter how much better evidence you give them, they will still find excuses to reject them, even if it means imposing double standards, denying facts or preferring false explanations over paranormal ones. It is apparent that closed-minded skeptics aren’t looking for evidence, but ways to shut it out to protect their views. After all, if they’re really looking for evidence, then why would they shut it out every time it comes up?
Even arch skeptic Bob Carroll of The Skeptic's Dictionary (http://www.skepdic.com) says that while anecdotal evidence may not be proof, but it helps point us in the right direction. (http://www.skepdic.com/comments/ndecom.html) This isn’t saying of course, that we should believe every anecdotal claim out there. That would be foolish. This is just saying that just because an anecdotal claim doesn’t fit one’s world view, doesn’t mean that it must be due to mistake, fraud or hallucination. The bottom line here is that although lots of people saying something doesn’t mean it’s true, (the ad populum argument) it at makes it MORE likely to be true compared to if no one at all said it was true.
It can also be said that the skeptic’s subjective dismissal of another’s experience is just as unreliable as any anecdotal evidence. Greg Stone, a consciousness expert and fierce knowledgeable debater on my discussion list, makes some intriguing points about how skeptics treat anecdotal evidence:
(referring to the writings of Skeptic Paul Kurtz):
“I suggest that rather than rejecting the eyewitness accounts of so many as unreliable, that he understand that his offhand subjective dismissal of another’s experience is equally unreliable. What is missing is his attempt at understanding what is -- based upon the accounts. That they are laden with the complexity of personal observation does not mean the underlying phenomena are not actual and real. The confusion of the scientist in sorting out complex evidence does not itself render the phenomena unreal...it only means the scientist lacks the insight or tools to do the work. Only a fool of a scientist would dismiss the evidence and reports in front of him and substitute his own beliefs in their place.”
Argument # 6: The memory malleability argument
Stated as: “Memory is malleable and unreliable. People can remember a highly edited version of what occurred, making anecdotal evidence unreliable. Therefore, memory is invalid evidence for any paranormal experiences.”
A similar skeptical tactic to try to further discredit anecdotal evidence (covered above in Argument # 5) is to attack the reliability of people’s memory. Skeptics argue that since memory is malleable, then the memory of paranormal experiencers is unreliable and therefore not to be trusted as valid evidence. This is related to the concept of False Memory Syndrome. Skeptics also try to justify it by using Occam’s Razor, claiming that inaccurate memory is a more probable and simpler explanation than any paranormal one. However, two significant problems with this argument reveal that is not only weak, but inapplicable as well, making it one of the least convincing of the skeptical arguments.
1) The main problem with this is that although memory isn’t perfect and doesn’t work like a tape recorder, the majority of what sane people remember IS reliable and can be checked out and verified. (See Argument # 5) This is easily demonstrable. I could make a long list of things I did yesterday, last week, or even last year. And I could also make a long list of events that happened from yesterday to years ago. The vast majority of these things (I would bet over 95 percent of them) could easily be verified by other people, records/receipts, news articles of the events, etc. No one of course remembers every detail of every second of their life, but what we DO remember tends to be accurate and can be verified. This simple fact is severely damaging to the false memory dogma of this argument. Of course, there are bound to be a few details that are fuzzy that I may not remember correctly, but these are addressed in the second point below.
2) Where memory tends to be unreliable the most is in the area involving details that the brain considers too insignificant to remember (which is the category that most things go into such as the colors of the cars you saw on the way to work this morning, number of steps on a staircase, etc.). Thousands of details we perceive everyday which our minds consider useless and insignificant are discarded. Unfortunately for skeptics and debunkers, paranormal experiences don’t fit into this category because they tend to be significant, shocking, and revealing. As we all know, significant life-altering events in our lives make the biggest impression in our memory and tend to be remembered immediately with clarity, not years afterward. Since paranormal/psychic experiences belong in this category, this further damages this already weak argument even more. In fact, people describing shocking or traumatic events from long ago tend to say, “It was years ago, but I can still see it as if it were happening right now.” These memories are often the same way years later as they were the day they occurred. This means that the memory is consistent and reliable. It’s not like I just thought of an event from years ago that made no impression on me back then and suddenly realize upon reflection that it was paranormal! Therefore memories of paranormal events are not likely to be created by memory malleability. Such was demonstrated in my own case when a psychic who sensed from my “vibrations” that there was a tragic period in my life when I was 9 years old. When a skeptic challenged the reliability of my memory of it, which only occurred a year and a half ago, I easily met his challenge by showing him a post I wrote up about it the day after it occurred, which contained the SAME details that I remember now. (it’s ironic these days when science and technology helps us prove skeptics wrong!)
Therefore, based on the two points above, the memory malleability argument is not only too weak to use to dismiss significant paranormal claims but also inadequate and inapplicable as well.
Argument # 7: “Automatic dismissal of paranormal claims as either due to 1) Mistake; 2) Lying; or 3) Hallucinating.”
Stated as: “Since paranormal phenomena is impossible, those who claim to have seen or experienced anything of a paranormal or psychic nature must be either 1) Mistaken; 2) Lying; or 3) Hallucinating.”
Skeptics who can’t explain away a paranormal event often classify witnesses as either mistaken, lying, or hallucinating. This again reflect bias and prejudgment on their part. Skeptics don’t really know that a claimant must fit one of the above categories, they simply put them there to keep their mental model paradigms intact. This is further evidenced by the fact that many skeptics will continue to insist on one of these three categories even when they are shown to be either impossible or too unlikely to consider.
Argument # 5: The “anecdotal evidence is invalid” argument.
Stated as: “All that we have to support paranormal claims is anecdotal evidence, which is unreliable and invalid evidence.”
Corollary: “Anecdotal evidence is worthless as scientific evidence.”
The “anecdotal evidence is invalid” argument is perhaps the one most often used by skeptics, and also the core philosophical difference between believers and skeptics. In fact, this issue is often the impasse point that the debates between believers and skeptics reach. The term “anecdote” technically refers to an unpublished story or personal testimony. But in this case, it refers to any eyewitness account or claim of a paranormal nature without hard evidence to corroborate it.
This classification is one of the main categories that skeptics put paranormal evidence into in order to dismiss it. (Another category being the “unreplicable / uncontrolled” group that scientific experiments supporting psi are often put into. See Arguments # 17, 1 cool Skeptics who use this argument often claim that the evidence we have for paranormal claims is largely anecdotal and therefore worthless as scientific evidence. They also claim that anecdotal evidence is invalid because it is largely untestable and subject to error. Some skeptics will even go so far as to say that anecdotal evidence is zero evidence. Not surprisingly though, skeptics tend to quote anecdotal evidence when it supports their side! (another double standard) Therefore it appears that classifying evidence as “anecdotal” is simply a dimissal tactic to try to discredit evidence that skeptics can’t explain away.
There are many factual and critical problems with this tactic.
1) While it may be true that most of the paranormal evidence is largely anecdotal in nature, by no means is it true that they are worthless or invalid. The fact is that most anecdotes, personal accounts, and what we remember check out most of the time or at least point to something real. Rarely is it ever based on nothing at all. For example, if someone told me that there was a man dressed in a Santa Claus suit at the local mall taking photos with kids, the odds are that if I went to the mall to verify it, it would check out most of the time (and if the Santa dressed man isn’t there at the time, he was there earlier at least). Or, if I went to the supermarket and asked the staff what aisle number the bread was at, most of the time the aisle he would tell me would be the one that has bread. Likewise, if I was inside a building and someone came in and said it was raining outside, most of the time it would check out. Either it would be raining now, or the wet floor would show that it was raining earlier. Similarly, when someone tells me what the ending is of a movie or book, it usually always checks out when I watch the movie or read the book. It’s that simple! There are countless examples like this that I could use, most of which are very mundane. Obviously, these types of simple ordinary everyday anecdotes point to something real. Now, since the skeptical philosophy about anecdotes doesn’t hold up when applied to simple mundane examples, why should it be used to evaluate paranormal experiences and claims? It makes no sense at all.
One argument I use that always gets these skeptics goes like this. I ask them about a country they’ve never been to before, such as France for example. And I state it like this: “Since you’ve never been to France before, and you have no real evidence that it exists other than anecdotes you heard, do you assume then that it doesn’t exist for now? After all, the photos, videos, and souvenirs from that country could all be forgeries, you just don’t know do you?” The skeptic will usually reply with “But I can fly to France and verify that it exists.” And that answer totally misses the point, so I then counter with the key question “Yeah but UNTIL you go to France, do you assume for NOW that it doesn’t exist, based on your skeptical philosophy that anecdotal evidence is invalid?” That stumps them EVERYTIME! They NEVER have a response to that one.
Suffice to say, if these skeptics truly believed that anecdotal evidence in general is invalid, then they could not function in life, for they would not believe anything told. They would refuse directions when they are lost, they would disbelieve every story told to them during their family reunions (even by the most honest and credible of their family members), invalidate all reports given to them in their workplace, etc. They know it too, and most likely do not live that way. Therefore, as mentioned before, this is all just a word game play to them, not about seeking the truth.
2) Anecdotal is not considered zero evidence or worthless by our society. Anyone with common sense who isn’t detached from society knows this. Courts consider eyewitness testimony as admissible evidence (though not proof). Employers consider reference letters, character references of friends and former employers, and background checks to be evidence of a job candidate’s performance. Marketing people conduct surveys to get important useful information about the market. A degree of anecdotal evidence is relied upon in everyday society. Obviously, if anecdotal evidence was of zero value, it wouldn’t be like this. But it is, so this demonstrates that these philosophical skeptics are all about playing a closed-minded philosophical word/labeling game, rather than being realistic about anything. Yet when confronted with reality, they continue to just throw labels and semantics out at them, until those who know better simply ignore them. It’s obvious that they either lack the most basic common sense, are in denial, or playing a deliberate game of philosophy.
Factors measuring degree of reliability in anecdotal evidence
3) What these pseudo-skeptics don’t realize is that not only is anecdotal evidence mostly reliable with regard to everyday things, but its degree of validity is can be measured based on several factors.
a) The number of eyewitnesses, testimonials and claims.
b) The consistency of the observations and claims.
c) The credibility of the witnesses.
d) The clarity of and proximity of the observation.
e) The state of mind of the witnesses.
Here is an elaboration on these variables that determine the degree of reliability of anecdotal evidence, and how they have been more than adequately met for many paranormal phenomena.
a) The number of eyewitnesses, testimonials and claims. The more eyewitnesses, testimonies, and claims there are, the greater the weight of evidence. Anyone knows that, and almost everyone operates that way, except pseudo-skeptics of course. Now, if there was only one claim in the world of a psychic experience, that wouldn’t be much. But if a considerable number of people told me the same thing including people I know and trust, then I might think that there could be something to it. And if has to do with a sizable proportion of the world population throughout history, then that’s incredibly significant. To put it simply, something is MORE likely to be true the more people attest to it. It’s not an absolute rule of course, just a general tendency overall. In the case of psychic experiences, surveys show that two-thirds of Americans claim to have had them, which is a significant number ranging over two hundred million in this country alone, not counting the rest of the world! Even the skeptical organization CSICOP admits this stat in articles on their website such as http://www.csicop.org/si/2001-11/alternative.html and http://www.csicop.org/list/listarchive/msg00047.html
b) The consistency in the observations and claims of witnesses. The consistency in the reports we get is also a significant factor that people consider. People trust consistency because it makes lying or mistake much less likely. Of course, consistency in observations and experiences does not mean that what was perceived was really what occurred, but it helps rule out fraud for the most part and points us in the right direction. This criteria is also met for some paranormal phenomena. In multiple witness sightings of ghosts and UFO’s for instance, there are accounts of several or more people witnessing the same thing and describing the same details. Even more striking is consistency among people who don’t know each other nor live near one another. For example, in the case of NDE’s, we have great consistency among experiencers in the form of seeing their body below them, moving through a tunnel, going to a great light of love that some call God, going through a life review, returning with permanent life changes, etc.
c) The credibility of the witnesses. The credibility of those making the reports and claims is also relevant. Factors that influence credibility include integrity, character, whether they’ve been known to lie before, education and expertise, mental stability, how well we know them personally (obviously you would place more value in the claim of someone you know and trust as opposed to a stranger), etc. We definitely have anecdotal evidence from this group for various paranormal/psychic phenomena. That is indisputable. Doctors and scientists of esteemed reputations have attested to miracles or paranormal phenomena. Trained radar personnel and Air Force observers have observed UFO’s both on radar and in the sky. Accomplished quantum physicists have found quantum evidence that make psychic phenomena more plausible, such as the discovery that particles behave differently when observed as opposed to unobserved, the nonlocality and connectedness of twin particles that are split, etc. (see Fred Alan Wolfe’s Taking the Quantum Leap and Michael Talbot’s The Holographic Universe) Prominent Psychiatrists such as Dr. Brian Weiss, author of Many Lives, Many Masters, have discovered and documented clinical evidence that past life memories are real and can be verified. Besides experts, people that we know and trust also claim to experience or observed things of a paranormal nature. Note that I’m not saying that an appeal to authority means that it’s right, only that it carries more weight as a general rule.
d) The proximity and clarity of the observation. How close and clear an observation or experience takes place also an important factor. If someone thinks they see Bigfoot as a speck in the distance, then it could be dismissed as almost anything. However, if they saw Bigfoot at close-up point-blank-range, then it would be much more compelling and harder to dismiss. For the person to be mistaken at point-blank-range, he/she would have to be either lying or greatly hallucinating and in need of help. Otherwise, the skeptics should do some serious thinking about their beliefs! Again, this criteria has been met for some paranormal phenomena such as Bigfoot, UFO’s and apparitions, which have been reportedly seen at point-blank-range in crystal clarity. Any research into will reveal lists of testimonials of this close-up nature.
e) The state of mind of the witness at the time. Another variable is the mental state of the witness, which include factors such as their alertness level, fatigue level, intoxication level, emotional level, fear and panic level, etc. This criteria has also been satisfied for paranormal/psychic phenomena because many of the witnesses were sober, awake and sane at the time of their observations and experiences.
f) What the witnesses/experiencers stand to gain from their testimony or claim. Whether the witnesses profit in any way is also a factor to consider, since it would put doubt on their sincerity if they have ulterior motives which might skew their objectivity. On the other hand, if they have nothing to gain then they are less likely to be manipulating us unless it was out of their genuine belief. This is especially so if they’ve suffered ridicule and damage to their reputation for their claims. The latter has been true for both paranormal experiencers as well as those who made new discoveries that validated paranormal phenomena. Esteemed scientists and experts in their fields have risked their reputations to share their discoveries. These include physicist David Bohm (a protйgй of Einstein and author of Wholeness and the Implicate Order) who postulated consciousness related quantum physics theories that contradicted the reductionist views of the universe, Miami Chair of Psychiatry Dr. Brian Weiss (author of Many Lives, Many Masters) who endured ridicule and criticism from his peers for his clinical reports and discoveries in past life regression, and others.
Now of course not all of the evidence for every paranormal and psychic phenomena have met all these criteria, but many of them have met some or all of them. Therefore we can conclude that the evidence for them is overwhelmingly strong, and certainly not zero evidence like pseudo-skeptics claim.
Ordinarily, anecdotal evidence this strong is accepted as valid evidence in most circumstances, so why not in regard to paranormal or psychic phenomena, especially when it’s so common? The reason is because skeptics and certain scientists don’t think these things are possible, therefore they assume that the fallibility of anecdotes must be the cause. In my experience with skeptics though, no matter how much better evidence you give them, they will still find excuses to reject them, even if it means imposing double standards, denying facts or preferring false explanations over paranormal ones. It is apparent that closed-minded skeptics aren’t looking for evidence, but ways to shut it out to protect their views. After all, if they’re really looking for evidence, then why would they shut it out every time it comes up?
Even arch skeptic Bob Carroll of The Skeptic's Dictionary (http://www.skepdic.com) says that while anecdotal evidence may not be proof, but it helps point us in the right direction. (http://www.skepdic.com/comments/ndecom.html) This isn’t saying of course, that we should believe every anecdotal claim out there. That would be foolish. This is just saying that just because an anecdotal claim doesn’t fit one’s world view, doesn’t mean that it must be due to mistake, fraud or hallucination. The bottom line here is that although lots of people saying something doesn’t mean it’s true, (the ad populum argument) it at makes it MORE likely to be true compared to if no one at all said it was true.
It can also be said that the skeptic’s subjective dismissal of another’s experience is just as unreliable as any anecdotal evidence. Greg Stone, a consciousness expert and fierce knowledgeable debater on my discussion list, makes some intriguing points about how skeptics treat anecdotal evidence:
(referring to the writings of Skeptic Paul Kurtz):
“I suggest that rather than rejecting the eyewitness accounts of so many as unreliable, that he understand that his offhand subjective dismissal of another’s experience is equally unreliable. What is missing is his attempt at understanding what is -- based upon the accounts. That they are laden with the complexity of personal observation does not mean the underlying phenomena are not actual and real. The confusion of the scientist in sorting out complex evidence does not itself render the phenomena unreal...it only means the scientist lacks the insight or tools to do the work. Only a fool of a scientist would dismiss the evidence and reports in front of him and substitute his own beliefs in their place.”
Argument # 6: The memory malleability argument
Stated as: “Memory is malleable and unreliable. People can remember a highly edited version of what occurred, making anecdotal evidence unreliable. Therefore, memory is invalid evidence for any paranormal experiences.”
A similar skeptical tactic to try to further discredit anecdotal evidence (covered above in Argument # 5) is to attack the reliability of people’s memory. Skeptics argue that since memory is malleable, then the memory of paranormal experiencers is unreliable and therefore not to be trusted as valid evidence. This is related to the concept of False Memory Syndrome. Skeptics also try to justify it by using Occam’s Razor, claiming that inaccurate memory is a more probable and simpler explanation than any paranormal one. However, two significant problems with this argument reveal that is not only weak, but inapplicable as well, making it one of the least convincing of the skeptical arguments.
1) The main problem with this is that although memory isn’t perfect and doesn’t work like a tape recorder, the majority of what sane people remember IS reliable and can be checked out and verified. (See Argument # 5) This is easily demonstrable. I could make a long list of things I did yesterday, last week, or even last year. And I could also make a long list of events that happened from yesterday to years ago. The vast majority of these things (I would bet over 95 percent of them) could easily be verified by other people, records/receipts, news articles of the events, etc. No one of course remembers every detail of every second of their life, but what we DO remember tends to be accurate and can be verified. This simple fact is severely damaging to the false memory dogma of this argument. Of course, there are bound to be a few details that are fuzzy that I may not remember correctly, but these are addressed in the second point below.
2) Where memory tends to be unreliable the most is in the area involving details that the brain considers too insignificant to remember (which is the category that most things go into such as the colors of the cars you saw on the way to work this morning, number of steps on a staircase, etc.). Thousands of details we perceive everyday which our minds consider useless and insignificant are discarded. Unfortunately for skeptics and debunkers, paranormal experiences don’t fit into this category because they tend to be significant, shocking, and revealing. As we all know, significant life-altering events in our lives make the biggest impression in our memory and tend to be remembered immediately with clarity, not years afterward. Since paranormal/psychic experiences belong in this category, this further damages this already weak argument even more. In fact, people describing shocking or traumatic events from long ago tend to say, “It was years ago, but I can still see it as if it were happening right now.” These memories are often the same way years later as they were the day they occurred. This means that the memory is consistent and reliable. It’s not like I just thought of an event from years ago that made no impression on me back then and suddenly realize upon reflection that it was paranormal! Therefore memories of paranormal events are not likely to be created by memory malleability. Such was demonstrated in my own case when a psychic who sensed from my “vibrations” that there was a tragic period in my life when I was 9 years old. When a skeptic challenged the reliability of my memory of it, which only occurred a year and a half ago, I easily met his challenge by showing him a post I wrote up about it the day after it occurred, which contained the SAME details that I remember now. (it’s ironic these days when science and technology helps us prove skeptics wrong!)
Therefore, based on the two points above, the memory malleability argument is not only too weak to use to dismiss significant paranormal claims but also inadequate and inapplicable as well.
Argument # 7: “Automatic dismissal of paranormal claims as either due to 1) Mistake; 2) Lying; or 3) Hallucinating.”
Stated as: “Since paranormal phenomena is impossible, those who claim to have seen or experienced anything of a paranormal or psychic nature must be either 1) Mistaken; 2) Lying; or 3) Hallucinating.”
Skeptics who can’t explain away a paranormal event often classify witnesses as either mistaken, lying, or hallucinating. This again reflect bias and prejudgment on their part. Skeptics don’t really know that a claimant must fit one of the above categories, they simply put them there to keep their mental model paradigms intact. This is further evidenced by the fact that many skeptics will continue to insist on one of these three categories even when they are shown to be either impossible or too unlikely to consider.
I know none of this will convince you, I'm merely posting this for others who may find it useful.