Vampirate Kitsune
A very stupid move. How will Kim Jong Un manage to save face now? North Korea hasn't got the resources, particularly food and manpower, to wage an extended war (read: years). Since China co-imposed the sanctions, I don't believe it will aid North Korea, at least not to any significant extent. And there is no chance North Korea could steamroll South Korea before troops from numerous UN nations arrived.
Assuming he's not insane but as intelligent as I think he is, I wonder what Kim Jong Un's real agenda is?
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un may be colorful, but he isn’t crazy.
There is logic behind the intensified war rhetoric, and while it may be convenient for the American public to believe that they are about to be attacked unprovoked by the unhinged dictator of an eerily isolated country, the truth of the matter is that the US and its allies have been doing some offensive
posturing that has Pyongyang very much on edge.
While mainstream media outlets are wont to describe North Korea’s rhetoric as increasingly bold, the threats and recent tests of long-range rockets and nuclear weapons are not the result of bravado, rather of fear.
The US and its East Asia allies (namely South Korea and Japan) have been preparing for an offensive on North Korea ever since the death of Kim Jong-il. They see a window of opportunity in the instability of the fragile succession.
Pyongyang has no choice now but to rattle its sabers–and rattling them at traditionally quiet South Korea is the most effective strategy. This is where North Korea can do the greatest damage, and if it feels that a US offensive is imminent, South Korea will come under attack. At the same time, an attack on South Korea will be the final justification for an all-out US-led offensive on North Korea.
Is North Korea confident enough in its nuclear capabilities to act as a deterrent to a US-led regime change effort? The nuclear tests are meant to demonstrate that confidence, but they also demonstrate fear.
The North Korea saga has been a long one, and threats have waxed and waned, always with various talking heads tossing about the idea of a major regional war. What’s different this time is that the US has clearly gone on the offensive and pushed Pyongyang into a dangerous corner.