Yes....exactly. You have two outcomes: He comes back, or he doesn't come back. Just as there are factors that still way into which way a coin will come up (i.e. wind speed, strength of the flip, what side the coin was on initially), there are still only TWO outcomes, and only ONE of those outcomes will be correct. It is, legitimately, 50/50.
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See, that's like claiming that a horse race is exactly 50/50. Either your horse wins, or it doesn't. But in reality, you have to factor in a lot of variables, such as top speed and endurance, to determine what's ACTUALLY more likely to happen. And in Punk's case, it's extremely likely that he'll be back, after some time to cool off of whatever the hell has happened to him.
It is not "extremely likely that he'll be back"...by that same argument, it's extremely likely that he'll go back to TNA...cause why not? Guys have gone back there after leaving. He's got beef with them that he could "cool off." All the arguments you're making for him going back to WWE can easily be reapplied to TNA...That's how you should know that they aren't good arguments....
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Deny it all you want, the odds are still in my favor.
50/50 odds are in no one's favor...And even if you guess right, you aren't basing it on anything other than a guess.
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Wouldn't bet on it. Either way, my point here is that there's that video of him taking an MMA training exercise. People have deduced that he quit to go MMA. And that would just be idiotic on him. Also noting a trend of people pushed to the top in WWE, jumping ship to go MMA. I guess they just forget that it's easier to win a fight, when you're TOLD you will.
That would be idiotic, but I doubt that's what his plan is. Plus, that video of him training I'm fairly certain was on his DVD...he does that in his spare time to help stay in shape because he enjoys it. So I think people are reading way too much into it.
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Money goes quicker than you think, when there's no deposits to balance out the withdrawals.
I've got some money saved back for possible "hard times", myself. But I readily acknowledge that it won't go very far, even with reasonable, moderate spending.
He's still making money from the WWE. Only reason he's not out doing other work right now is because he legally can't cause he's still under contract, but even then, like I've pointed out, he still makes his merch portion of his contract at least, and he's the second highest seller in the company, so it's a pretty big portion (it was reported as being easily a million dollars).