What Are The Odds?- Collating Crafting Chances

If Gaia was to adjust crafting changes, what would you like to see implemented?

Crafting Cost Cap (Cannot cost more than 'x' gold, odds stay the same)	15.5%	[ 128 ]
Scaling Odds (Subsequent failures increase crafting success)	62.9%	[ 520 ]
Scaling Fixed Cost (Formula has a cost to craft which reduces based on Alchemy Level)	14.0%	[ 116 ]
Other (Please share!)	7.6%	[ 63 ]
Total Votes:			[ 827 ]

[Zzyli]

Flux

Glad my failures were useful. xd

The sad part is that none gave me a Fail, unless that was just a rumor, I know they are in the aquamarine cache bags.

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

I'm pretty sure that's just a rumour. I've never seen substantiated evidence that failing will at any time produce a 'fail', which is too bad- I need 20 of them to craft Worst Mistake, but I also need 220 Aquamarine caches to craft my Glace, which is a much more attractive item, even if it doesn't have a title attached to it.

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[Flux]

Zzyli

Flux

Glad my failures were useful. xd

The sad part is that none gave me a Fail, unless that was just a rumor, I know they are in the aquamarine cache bags.

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

I'm pretty sure that's just a rumour. I've never seen substantiated evidence that failing will at any time produce a 'fail', which is too bad- I need 20 of them to craft Worst Mistake, but I also need 220 Aquamarine caches to craft my Glace, which is a much more attractive item, even if it doesn't have a title attached to it.

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

I am collecting fails for the same reason, have nine so far.

Maybe I should stop selling cases for a while and go back to caches, aquamarines are very common so I should get enough soon if I am lucky. xd

[Zzyli]

Flux

I am collecting fails for the same reason, have nine so far.

Maybe I should stop selling cases for a while and go back to caches, aquamarines are very common so I should get enough soon if I am lucky. xd

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

You'd get them relatively quickly if you were making caches. I mean, I have enough to make it, but I already pulled 10 caches out of my quest to make Sugary Wings (because they are awesome), and I figure I'll wait to make the Worst Mistake. I have everything else I need, so it shouldn't be too difficult to finish.

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[Flux]

Zzyli

Flux

I am collecting fails for the same reason, have nine so far.

Maybe I should stop selling cases for a while and go back to caches, aquamarines are very common so I should get enough soon if I am lucky. xd

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

You'd get them relatively quickly if you were making caches. I mean, I have enough to make it, but I already pulled 10 caches out of my quest to make Sugary Wings (because they are awesome), and I figure I'll wait to make the Worst Mistake. I have everything else I need, so it shouldn't be too difficult to finish.

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

Maybe you are right, hopefully the extra bags won't be mostly sapphire or emeralds.

Hope I don't drain the feathers too quickly.

[Misfortuned Checkmate]

Zzyli

I think between the two of you, I've seen more fails on High levelled crafts than the rest of the dataset has provided. xd

Front page is up to date! We're closing in on our 300th submitted craft.

Also- please check out this thread in SF. I'd love your support!

Sorry for the late reply, but man! Really? xD
I'm glad my fails have provided good info!
Also, I just remembered when a good friend of mine craft an ectoplasm for me. xD

Level of formula: 3
Difficulty: Very Low
Alchemist level: 3
Attempts: 2

[S00perPanda]

I have a question, and I'm fairly sure one of you will know the answer.
I'm level 1 and I'm trying to craft a Philosopher Cache.
The chance rate is very low, but I've tried about 20 times now, and all my tries failed D:
Is this normal?
I hoped to get some profit from this cache, but now it seems I'm just losing an awful lot of money...
How long will it take until I'll get to craft it?

[Zzyli]

S00perPanda

I have a question, and I'm fairly sure one of you will know the answer.
I'm level 1 and I'm trying to craft a Philosopher Cache.
The chance rate is very low, but I've tried about 20 times now, and all my tries failed D:
Is this normal?
I hoped to get some profit from this cache, but now it seems I'm just losing an awful lot of money...
How long will it take until I'll get to craft it?

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

It's certainly not abnormal for crafting something with Very Low odds at the level of the formula. You can keep trying & you will succeed eventually (though I do have people who have reported over 50 attempts at getting a craft to succeed), or you can wait until Level 2 to craft the cache, where the odds resemble high odds & you'll only fail about 1/3 times.

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[S00perPanda]

Zzyli

S00perPanda

I have a question, and I'm fairly sure one of you will know the answer.
I'm level 1 and I'm trying to craft a Philosopher Cache.
The chance rate is very low, but I've tried about 20 times now, and all my tries failed D:
Is this normal?
I hoped to get some profit from this cache, but now it seems I'm just losing an awful lot of money...
How long will it take until I'll get to craft it?

Fifty times? gonk
Alchemy is even more costly than I thought!
Thanks for answering my question though surprised

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

It's certainly not abnormal for crafting something with Very Low odds at the level of the formula. You can keep trying & you will succeed eventually (though I do have people who have reported over 50 attempts at getting a craft to succeed), or you can wait until Level 2 to craft the cache, where the odds resemble high odds & you'll only fail about 1/3 times.

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[Misfortuned Checkmate]

I made a Helmet of the Great War for someone. c;

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 7
Attempts Required: 3 gonk

[Flux]

Made another Onyx Princess Gown

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 7
Attempts Required: 2

The only thing that would make me feel better is if someone would actually buy it, but just like the bacon cape is worthless. xp

The first one I made took me one try, maybe the more times you make the formula the worst are the odds.

[S00perPanda]

Yay, I finally got it crafted!

Formula Level: 1
Formula Odds: Very Low
Alchemist Level: 1
Attempts Required: 21

[Flux]

Made yet another Onyx Princess Gown, easiest formula for me to make at this level xd

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 7
Attempts Required: 1 biggrin

Wish I could sell them though, but I take the experience over any gold price.

[Misfortuned Checkmate]

Ok! Made another Hermes Moon! :'D

Formula level: 7
Difficulty: Medium
Alchemist Level: 7
Tries? : Just one. wink

[Misfortuned Checkmate]

Made someone a White Russian, and Level'd up to Level 8! 8D

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: Medium
Alchemist Level: 7
Attempts Required: 1

[Flux]

Made Onyx Princess Gown #4 xp

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 7
Attempts Required: 2