Crafting Odds
Information here is based on
average number of attempts required to craft an item. Please consider that your mileage may vary with these results, especially while there is a relatively small dataset. I would anticipate needing 100+ crafts in each category to get a reasonably accurate picture of the odds of success.
For those of you who are interested in the mechanics- I calculated number of attempts by an average of the total number of attempts. All numbers are rounded to 1 decimal place. Percentage is total crafts for that category divided by total attempts for that category times 100. Percentages rounded to nearest whole number.
At Level of Formula
Very High: 1.3 Attempts (78% Success Rate)
High: 1.5 Attempts (68% Success Rate)
Medium: 1.8 Attempts (55% Success Rate)
Low: 3.0 Attempts (34% Success Rate)
Very Low: 11.6 Attempts (9% Success Rate)
One Level Above Level of Formula
Very High: 1.1 Attempts (93% Success Rate)
High: 1.1 Attempts (92% Success Rate)
Medium: 1.4 Attempts (70% Success Rate)
Low: (N/A not enough data)
Very Low: 1.7 Attempts (60% Success Rate)
Current information is based on 468 user submitted crafts. All filled in sections have at least 3 submissions for that category.
Updated! Frequency Histogram based on 78 user-submitted crafts at very low.
Compared to my original chart,
the general shape of the graph seems to be much the same, with the bulk of the crafts concentrated in the 1-15 attempts area, with a long tail, though the mean number of crafts seems to have decreased slightly, the median remains the same.
If you're interested in number crunching, we have a mean of 11 crafts, a median of 9 crafts & 1 is the modal amount of crafts (closely followed by 9 and 2 attempts).
100
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