What Are The Odds?-Collating Crafting Chances-With SF thread

If Gaia was to adjust crafting changes, what would you like to see implemented?

Crafting Cost Cap (Cannot cost more than 'x' gold, odds stay the same)	17.5%	[ 32 ]
Scaling Odds (Subsequent failures increase crafting success)	53.0%	[ 97 ]
Scaling Fixed Cost (Formula has a cost to craft which reduces based on Alchemy Level)	20.2%	[ 37 ]
Other (Please share!)	9.3%	[ 17 ]
Total Votes:			[ 183 ]

[Flux]

Crafted another Hermes Moon

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: Medium
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 1 blaugh

The pattern is broken. heart

[Flux]

Crafted another Hermes Moon

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: Medium
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 4 stare

Can't complain since I made two in a row with one try, this was bound to happen.

[Flux]

Crafted another Onyx Princess Gown

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 1


Crafted yet another Onyx Princess Gown

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 1

[Lemon Lennon]

Crafting White Tigerskin Loincloth

Formula Level: 1
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 1
Attempts Required: 1
I'm almost done I just need 8 more chalk >.<

[Zzyli]

Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf

Updated front page. We're at over 300 crafts & finally have enough information to give a rough figure for crafting at medium odds 1 level above the formula.

I'm away on holidays for the next couple of weeks, but I plan to update again when I get back. 3nodding

Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...

[Flux]

Crafted another Hermes Moon

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: Medium
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 1 blaugh

[Misfortuned Checkmate]

Crafted another Hermes Moon

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: Medium
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 1 heart

[Tay Lorien]

Made a Sunstone

Formula Level: 5
Formula Odds: Very Low
Alchemist Level: 5
Attempts Required: 1

Lucky. smile

[Flux]

Crafted Triple Candy Horns, my first (and probably only) level 8 formula razz

Formula Level: 8
Formula Odds: Medium
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 2 surprised

I thought the odds were High since that's what Lei's guide said, but it was a mistake and I already told him to change it. Two attempts, what are the odds of that?

[Flux]

Crafted another Onyx Princess Gown

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 1

[Misfortuned Checkmate]

Westly_Saxon crafted my dark matter, since i'm still level 8 and all. xD
Only need mercury's moon! emotion_kirakira
*Ahem*
Formula Level: 9
Success Rate: Very Low
Alchemist level: 10
Tries: 3

[Owlie]

As a level 4, crafted Formula 4: Angel Imp's Feather (Very Low) on the 6th attempt.

[Flux]

Crafted another Onyx Princess Gown

Formula Level: 7
Formula Odds: High
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 1

[Misfortuned Checkmate]

Crafted a Mannfrey's RPM-7 Rocket Launcher

Formula Level: 8
Formula Odds: Medium
Alchemist Level: 8
Attempts Required: 2

[Tay Lorien]

Tay Lorien

Made a Sunstone

Formula Level: 5
Formula Odds: Very Low
Alchemist Level: 5
Attempts Required: 18

sunstone #2
very unlucky... crying 50kx18...