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Learned Informer

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The intent of this thread is to determine the chances of getting any given colored Philosopher's Cache (or GoFusion Charm) when you open the original Cache. If you've opened a large number of original Caches lately, let us know what mix you got! The more data we collect the closer we'll come to the actual percentages.

I've just reset the data again to allow for the arrival of the Philosopher's Cache: zOMG, so let's build our data pool back up! Remember, if you want to give me data, please don't just tell me how many zOMG Caches you got, or just how many Heart Charms; I need to know all of the numbers to be able to use them.

Here's the data from opening a total of 1,178 base Philosopher's Caches:
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204 zOMG
209 Aquamarine
200 Emerald
167 Sapphire
143 Amethyst
121 Garnet
097 Ruby
090 Topaz
059 Diamond
064 Gold
028 Platinum
024 Heart Charms




Notice that this list isn't quite in quantity order; I've italicized the Caches that have a higher quantity than the one listed above them. I strongly suspect that, as I gather more data, the numbers will fall into line and the order I have here will be the proper order sorted by quantity.

There's too little data to bother with a Partial Pie of the most recent, since all of it is the most recent, but this feature will return if we get enough data to warrant it.



Can't get enough of gathering probability data? Check out these other threads!

Opening the Alchemist's Case: Probabilities
A thread that does for the Alchemist's Case what this one does for the base Philosopher's Cache.
What Are The Odds? (Collating Crafting Chances)
Check out this thread if you want to know how many times you're likely to fail when crafting a formula!
These were the ones I have crafted and opened on my own.
*These are taken from my journal, which is updated often*

#1 - Gold
#2 - Amethyst
#3 - Diamond
#4 - Aquamarine
#5 - Amethyst
#6 - Diamond
#7 - Topaz
#8 - Garnet
#9 - Topaz
#10 - Garnet
#11 - Aquamarine
#12 - Aquamarine
#13 - Garnet
#14 - Aquamarine
#15 - Amethyst
#16 - Amethyst
#17 - Gold
#18 - Aquamarine
#19 - Garnet
#20 - Ruby
#21 - Ruby
#22 - Ruby

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Istoleyourtaco's avatar

Sparkly Warlord

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Platonix
The intent of this thread is to determine the chances of getting any given colored Philosopher's Cache when you open the original Cache. If you've opened a large number of original Caches lately, let us know what mix of colored bags you got! The more data we collect the closer we'll come to the actual percentages.

Having started this work in another thread, we've already come fairly far. Here's the data from opening a total of 833 base Philosopher's Caches:

User Image 171 Aquamarine
126 Emerald
111 Amethyst
107 Sapphire
88 Garnet
69 Topaz
67 Ruby
39 Diamond
34 Gold
21 Platinum

Last updated 6/12/12 Constipated did a thread like this and his was basically the same just a few differances but close to this . So I guess it is part luck and part quantity .

Let's see if we can gather enough data to get that poor little Platinum bar past the lip of the bag! xd
Zzyli's avatar

Rainbow Angel

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Zzyli - Zzy as in Xylophone, Li as in leaf



This is what I've currently pulled (I have a full list in my journal so I can edit at leisure).

Aquamarine 4
Emerald 1
Amethyst 3
Sapphire 1
Garnet 1
Topaz
Ruby 1
Diamond
Gold
Platinum


Accentuate the positive and eliminate the negative...
Lei_Trigar's avatar

Noble Survivor

*reserving, will update this post as well*
†•╬══•↬꿈길을 걷는다 ღ
emotion_bigheart when i opened 5 i received two aquas
1 emerald
1 diamond
and 1 platinum c:
im very impatient and i hate having to collect all the trash
Platonix's avatar

Learned Informer

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Lovable Marionette
#1 - Gold
#2 - Amethyst
#3 - Diamond
#4 - Aquamarine
#5 - Amethyst
#6 - Diamond
#7 - Topaz
#8 - Garnet
#9 - Topaz
#10 - Garnet
#11 - Aquamarine
#12 - Aquamarine
#13 - Garnet
#14 - Aquamarine
#15 - Amethyst
#16 - Amethyst
#17 - Gold
#18 - Aquamarine
#19 - Garnet
#20 - Ruby
#21 - Ruby
#22 - Ruby
Zzyli

Aquamarine 4
Emerald 1
Amethyst 3
Sapphire 1
Garnet 1
Ruby 1
heaven x ace
two aquas
1 emerald
1 diamond
and 1 platinum c:
I've added these into the figures and graph in the first post. (Zzyli, I assume colors that don't have a number next to them are ones you haven't gotten any of yet, since you do have the number 1 next to others?)
Istoleyourtaco
Constipated did a thread like this and his was basically the same just a few differances but close to this . So I guess it is part luck and part quantity .
Yeah, his thread is actually the thread I mentioned this work starting in. CT contacted me and said I ought to make a new thread because he probably wasn't going to be updating the opening post of that thread any further.
Zzyli's avatar

Rainbow Angel

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Platonix

Yes, that is correct. Possibly I should swap over to a tally system, or a list system or something. This was more for my personal curiosity.
emotion_brofist
Otp's avatar

Demonic Cutesmasher

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User Image - Blocked by "Display Image" Settings. Click to show.

I've made 2 large batches so far, and this is what I've got.
First batch:
1 Platinum
4 Gold
3 Diamond
8 Topaz
7 Garnet
7 Amethyst
7 Emerald
5 Sapphire
8 Ruby
10 Aquamarine

Second batch:
Platinum - 3
Gold - 2
Diamond - 2
Topaz - 6
Garnet - 4
Ruby - 4
Emerald - 7
Sapphire - 6
Aquamarine - 13
Amethyst - 13
jadedrenee's avatar

Fashionable Bookworm

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Just opened 7. Results:

3 aquamarine
2 emerald
1 garnet
1 topaz
Platonix's avatar

Learned Informer

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Otp
First batch:
1 Platinum
4 Gold
3 Diamond
8 Topaz
7 Garnet
7 Amethyst
7 Emerald
5 Sapphire
8 Ruby
10 Aquamarine

Second batch:
Platinum - 3
Gold - 2
Diamond - 2
Topaz - 6
Garnet - 4
Ruby - 4
Emerald - 7
Sapphire - 6
Aquamarine - 13
Amethyst - 13
jadedrenee
3 aquamarine
2 emerald
1 garnet
1 topaz
Added in. Good work, folks!
worlds suckiest vendor's avatar

Godlike Millionaire

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Im 1/20 the way there to my 1000cache quest! (50) emotion_awesome
Just started today really.
Once I get 1000 I will open them all!
StationWagon's avatar

Agile Rogue

I've made:

2 sapphire
1 ruby
2 garnet
4 aquamarine
1 topaz
1 amethyst
Christmas_chan's avatar

Man-Hungry Scrooge

Aqua 18

Emerald 14
Sapphire 14
Garnet 14

Amethyst 13

Ruby 7
Topaz 7

Diamond 6

Gold 5

Platinum 2


Total = 100
(Opened in one go.)

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