marinebase7
Correlation does not imply Causation, also known as c** hoc ergo propter hoc.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply_causation
Absolutely. You've put your finger squarely on the division between the rational world of deductive logic and the empirical world of matter and experience.
There is correlation between the number of obese people in a population and the number of televisions. But to say that owning a television makes you fat is a hasty leap. There are many thin people who own televisions.
And the actual link is that wealthy nations have more televisions and wealthy nations are also more obese because we, as a species, aren't smart enough realise that the likelyhood of famine is so low that we're harming our life-expectancy by eating so much.
But, of course, that can't be 'proved' to a deductive standard either.
In fact, using that standard of causation, nothing about the physical world can be 'proved' to be caused by anything else.
For example, you can't
prove that making an obvious statement in Latin impresses people more than making it in English.
Back at the topic:
I say that blaming the USA's absurd number of school shootings on teenagers' taste in music or button-pressing computer games or mean spirited bullying is a piece of false reasoning. For teenagers elswhere in the world buy the same computer games and the same records and the same posters of Marilyn Manson and they bully and they pick on the vulnerable. But they don't shoot up their schools nearly as much.
(e.g. UK - last school shooting was Dunblane in 1996. Australia - last school shooting was Port Arthur in 1996)
But I notice that the USA has an absurd number of spree killings and shootings outside schools as well. And the USA has more than one firearm per head of population. And the other nations - which don't have that grotesque number of guns - don't have the same rate of spree killings and school shootings and non-school shootings.
The USA has three times the murder rate of any of the other 25 most developed nations. Why is that ? I say: because of the USA's cult of gun ownership.